Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 29

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Reino de León (León)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Leonesa		Real Unión de Irun

	1	X	2
	1.48	4	5.25
	1.46	3.9	5.75
	1.48	4.1	6.2
	1.47	4.07	6.18	Watch
	1.44	4.15	6.81
	1.48	4.1	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.41)	4.05 ↓ (4.68)	6.07 ↑ (5.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
62.3%

Draw
22.6%

Real Unión de Irun
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

19.6%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

18.7%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leonesa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Leonesa - Real Unión de Irun Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Banuz M. (G) 12. Ortega G. 5. Fornos Q. 3. Satrustegui E. 17. Martinez A. 22. Pibe 6. Presa K. 14. Bicho 10. Chacon L. 9. Justo M. 19. Escobar A.	13. Wright J. (G) 19. Eimil V. 2. Santos S. 6. Quintana A. 3. Carlos J. 22. Garrido D. 8. Bilbao I. 10. Rivero Q. 7. Aranzabe A. 20. Sergio Benito 9. Benito A.
Substitutes
20. Alba T. 13. Amigo (G) 21. Artola J. 8. Barri 7. Calderon C. 2. Garcia V. 18. Lanchi 16. Maestre S. 4. Rodri Suarez 15. Ruiz V. 11. Samanes S.	27. Arteaga U. 17. Cayarga B. 5. Dominguez J. . Ghussein B. . Labaka A. 24. Munroe F. 11. Obieta K. 26. Perez C. (G) 16. Vidorreta A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Eimil V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Presa K. ↓, Barri ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Escobar A. ⚽,
64', Benito A. ↓, Obieta K. ↑,
68', Obieta K. 🟨,
73', Escobar A. 🟨,
76', Escobar A. ↓, Artola J. ↑,
77', Carlos J. ↓, Munroe F. ↑,
83', Bicho ↓, Alba T. ↑,
84', Ortega G. ↓, Garcia V. ↑,
87', Rivero Q. 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 2.

Recent matches Leonesa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Unión is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Leonesa is absolute favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 0.9:0.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Leonesa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
16.03.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Leonesa - Zamora	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Osasuna B - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Leonesa - Celta de Vigo B	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Real Sociedad B - Leonesa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TTTWT
- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
16.03.25	Ourense CF - Real Unión de Irun	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Real Unión de Irun - Arenteiro	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Amorebieta - Real Unión de Irun	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Real Unión de Irun - Real Sociedad B	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Celta de Vigo B - Real Unión de Irun	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.12.24	Real Unión de Irun - Leonesa	0:1
04.05.24	Real Unión de Irun - Leonesa	0:0
02.12.23	Leonesa - Real Unión de Irun	2:0
03.04.22	Real Unión de Irun - Leonesa	1:1
22.01.22	Leonesa - Real Unión de Irun	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
19.01.20	Leonesa - Real Unión de Irun	0:0
01.09.19	Real Unión de Irun - Leonesa	1:1

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