The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barcelona Guayaquil 49.8%
Draw 29.5%
Deportivo Macará 20.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.8%
27.6%
19.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.6%
29.1%
18.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barcelona Guayaquil, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Barcelona Guayaquil - Deportivo Macará Predictions
Users Predictions:
Barcelona Guayaquil will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Contreras J. (G) 18. Carabali B. 14. Rangel A. 33. Baez J. 4. Vallecilla G. 8. Diaz S. 28. Quinonez Ruiz J. R. (C) 32. Lugo M. 35. Intriago J. 7. Mendoza E. 9. Benedetto D.
1. Rodriguez R. (G) 25. Bolanos D. 21. Etchebarne S. 14. Marrufo J. (C) 13. Ayala M. 28. Campana A. I. 5. Estacio J. 16. Cazares J. 20. Viera M. 9. Posse F. 15. Tello M.
Substitutes
63. Caidedo K. 26. Castillo B. 22. Cevallos J. (G) 44. Chala Rosales W. J. 23. Martinez T. 29. Medina J. 70. Mejia M. 15. Perlaza J. 25. Perlaza R. 11. Rodriguez T. 27. Vargas W. 51. Wila J.
50. Caicedo C. 77. Chala J. 30. Chamba T. 12. Cuero D. (G) 3. Espinoza J. 22. Ferro L. 4. Jimenez J. 87. Klinger J. 26. Medranda M. 27. Mohor J.
Coaches
Farias Acosta C. A.
Sanguinetti G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Viera M. ⚽, Campana A. I. (A),
37', 0 - 2, Viera M. ⚽, Tello M. (A),
38', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ↓, Rodriguez T. ↑,
46', Vallecilla G. ↓, Perlaza R. ↑,
54', 1 - 2, Diaz S. ⚽, Lugo M. (A),
58', Tello M. ↓, Caicedo C. ↑,
61', Benedetto D. ↓, Wila J. ↑,
64', Diaz S. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
68', Ayala M. ↓, Mohor J. ↑,
68', Viera M. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
83', Campana A. I. ↓, Chala J. ↑,
83', Estacio J. ↓, Klinger J. ↑,
84', Intriago J. ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
90+1', Posse F. 🟨,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Macará may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Barcelona is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:21. (average 1.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 2.1:1.2).