The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universidad Católica del Ecuador 49.7%
Draw 27.2%
Barcelona Guayaquil 23.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.8%
28.9%
31.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.1%
28.4%
31.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad Católica del Ecuador's performance.
Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barcelona Guayaquil might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad Católica del Ecuador that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barcelona Guayaquil could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90%
0%
10%
Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Barcelona Guayaquil Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Barcelona will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Católica: 71.4% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Lara J. (G) 24. Nazareno D. 33. Canga L. 4. Jhon Chancellor 30. Mejia E. 10. Martinez F. (C) 9. Londono A. 5. Cacciabue J. 28. Diaz M. 32. Alonso M. 7. Fajardo J.
1. Contreras J. (C) 18. Carabali B. 33. Baez J. 14. Rangel A. 4. Vallecilla G. 32. Lugo M. 35. Intriago J. 8. Diaz S. 7. Mendoza E. 70. Mejia M. 9. Benedetto D.
Substitutes
20. Chala J. 1. Cueva L. (G) 37. Medina C. 18. Palacios B. 23. Rodriguez A. 22. Romo R. (G) 19. Sevillano M. 17. Troya R. 44. Valencia E. 26. Yanez S.
26. Castillo B. 22. Cevallos J. (G) 44. Chala Rosales W. J. 50. Garcia J. 23. Martinez T. 29. Medina J. 15. Perlaza J. 25. Perlaza R. 11. Rodriguez T. 27. Vargas W. 21. Villalba H. 51. Wila J.
Coaches
Martinez D.
Farias Acosta C. A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Fajardo J. ⚽, Diaz M. (A),
24', Vallecilla G. 🟨,
25', Londono A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Diaz S. ↓, Chala Rosales W. J. ↑,
59', Vallecilla G. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
59', Mejia M. ↓, Perlaza J. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Chala Rosales W. J. ⚽, Martinez T. (A),
67', Benedetto D. ↓, Rodriguez T. ↑,
71', Alonso M. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
76', Mendoza E. ↓, Castillo B. ↑,
80', Farias Acosta C. A. 🟨,
80', Martinez F. 🟨,
81', Contreras J. 🟨,
86', Cacciabue J. ↓, Palacios B. ↑,
89', 2 - 1, Valencia E. ⚽, Diaz M. (A),
90+4', Londono A. ↓, Sevillano M. ↑,
90+4', Fajardo J. ↓, Moreno L. ↑,
90+7', Chala Rosales W. J. 🟨,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, Uni Católica is seen as the favorite.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Uni Católica won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).
Standings
Championship Group
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
U. Catolica
31
14
9
8
52:29
23
51
6
Barcelona SC
30
11
11
8
32:25
7
44
Last Results with these Odds
Universidad Católica del Ecuador - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 39.82%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Ecuador
Peru
Watch
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Lara J. (G) 
Jhon Chancellor 
Martinez F. (C) 
Londono A. 
Alonso M. 
Baez J. 
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