Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 22

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha (Guayaquil)

Referee: Gonzalez G. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Barcelona Guayaquil		LDU Quito

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.25	2.82	Watch
	2.20	3.10	2.87
	2.3	3.15	2.98	Watch
	2.33	3.25	3.21
	2.22	3.3	3.21	Watch
	2.3	3.2	3.15
	2.39	3.27	2.9	Watch
	2.28	3.15	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.6)	3.21 ↑ (3.1)	3.01 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Barcelona Guayaquil
40.4%

Draw
28.8%

LDU Quito
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

29.7%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

29%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona Guayaquil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Barcelona Guayaquil - LDU Quito Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 8 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 55.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Contreras J. (G) 18. Carabali B. 33. Baez J. 14. Rangel A. 25. Perlaza R. 28. Quinonez Ruiz J. R. (C) 32. Lugo M. 8. Diaz S. 11. Rodriguez T. 51. Wila J. 9. Benedetto D.	1. Valle G. (G) 30. Allala Menendez G. F. 4. Ade R. (C) 44. Segovia L. 28. Cuero Mercado J. W. 26. Zambrano I. 8. Pretell J. 20. Cornejo F. 67. Carabali J. 13. Corozo J. 11. Estrada M.
Substitutes
22. Cevallos J. (G) 44. Chala Rosales W. J. 50. Garcia J. 35. Intriago J. 23. Martinez T. 29. Medina J. 70. Mejia M. 7. Mendoza E. 15. Perlaza J. 4. Vallecilla G. 27. Vargas W. 21. Villalba H.	21. Castillo E. 16. Deyverson 22. Dominguez A. (G) 32. Gomez A. 99. Luna Tobar C. 27. Mina R. 3. Mina R. 25. Ortiz P. 23. Quinonez Y. 7. Redes R. 12. Villa A. (G)
Coaches
Farias Acosta C. A.	Alvarez G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Allala Menendez G. F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Wila J. ↓, Villalba H. ↑,
52', 0 - 1, Estrada M. ⚽,
56', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. 🟨,
56', Segovia L. 🟨,
59', Mina R. 🟨,
61', Corozo J. 🟨,
69', Carabali B. ↓, Vargas W. ↑,
69', Zambrano I. ↓, Quinonez Y. ↑,
69', Benedetto D. ↓, Mendoza E. ↑,
73', Perlaza R. ↓, Perlaza J. ↑,
74', Carabali J. 🟨,
74', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. (Penalty Awarded),
83', Diaz S. ↓, Intriago J. ↑,
85', Estrada M. ↓, Deyverson ↑,
86', Corozo J. ↓, Luna Tobar C. ↑,
90+9', Cuero Mercado J. W. ↓, Mina R. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Barcelona is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:28. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1:1.1).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	LDU Quito	31	14	7	10	33:25	8	49
6	Barcelona SC	30	11	11	8	32:25	7	44

Last Results with these Odds

LDU Quito - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.79%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
21.07.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Libertad Loja	1:0 ✺
15.07.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Guayaquil City	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Emelec - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:0 ✺
04.07.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Deportivo Cuenca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWTTW
- LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.07.26	Manta - LDU Quito	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	LDU Quito - Leones del Norte	0:1 ✺
15.07.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - LDU Quito	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	LDU Quito - Libertad Loja	0:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
08.07.26	Independiente Juniors - LDU Quito	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
03.04.26	LDU Quito - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:2
23.11.25	Barcelona Guayaquil - LDU Quito	2:2
17.10.25	LDU Quito - Barcelona Guayaquil	3:0
24.07.25	Barcelona Guayaquil - LDU Quito	0:1
18.06.25	LDU Quito - Barcelona Guayaquil	3:1
31.08.24	LDU Quito - Barcelona Guayaquil	3:0
22.05.24	Barcelona Guayaquil - LDU Quito	2:0

Upcoming Matches