Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 23

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra (Ibarra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Leones del Norte		Barcelona Guayaquil

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.35	Watch
	2.40	2.95	2.70
	2.88	2.98	2.42	Watch
	2.84	3.2	2.68
	2.82	3.14	2.54	Watch
	2.65	3.1	2.6
	2.8	3.05	2.6	Watch
	2.85	2.95	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (3.02)	3.05 ↓ (3.08)	2.54 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones del Norte
33.1%

Draw
30.4%

Barcelona Guayaquil
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

30.2%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

29.1%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leones del Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones del Norte than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	57.1%	14.3%

Leones del Norte - Barcelona Guayaquil Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Leones del Norte will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Barcelona will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Nazareno L. (G) 4. Arroyo R. 2. Moran J. 23. Monserrat N. 16. De La Cruz M. 6. Griffa E. 29. Madero P. 70. Pazmino D. 11. Caramuto M. 99. Solano C. 40. Anangono J. (C)	1. Contreras J. (G) 18. Carabali B. 14. Rangel A. 33. Baez J. 4. Vallecilla G. 25. Perlaza R. 35. Intriago J. 32. Lugo M. 28. Quinonez Ruiz J. R. (C) 7. Mendoza E. 11. Rodriguez T.
Substitutes
17. Amilivia T. 22. Arroyo J. (G) 55. Borja R. 50. Caicedo M. 27. Caicedo Nestor 5. Coppo T. 14. Folleco A. 25. Kreiman B. 19. Pepinos E. 34. Portocarrero S. 3. Vargas F. 8. Velez C.	9. Benedetto D. 63. Caidedo K. 26. Castillo B. 22. Cevallos J. (G) 44. Chala Rosales W. J. 8. Diaz S. 23. Martinez T. 29. Medina J. 70. Mejia M. 15. Perlaza J. 27. Vargas W. 51. Wila J.
Coaches
Cordoba M.	Farias Acosta C. A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Vallecilla G. 🟨,
14', Solano C. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Madero P. ⚽, Pazmino D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Perlaza R. ↓, Perlaza J. ↑,
55', Arroyo R. 🟨,
62', Mendoza E. ↓, Benedetto D. ↑,
62', Vallecilla G. ↓, Diaz S. ↑,
64', Lugo M. 🟨,
70', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
72', Carabali B. 🟨,
73', Pazmino D. 🟨,
78', Solano C. ↓, Portocarrero S. ↑,
78', Pazmino D. ↓, Coppo T. ↑,
78', Caramuto M. ↓, Pepinos E. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Diaz S. ⚽,
81', Contreras J. 🟨,
84', Rodriguez T. ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
86', Arroyo R. ↓, Kreiman B. ↑,
90+4', Anangono J. ↓, Amilivia T. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ))

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Barcelona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Leones del Norte won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Barcelona SC	30	11	11	8	32:25	7	44

Last Results with these Odds

Barcelona Guayaquil - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.09%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones del Norte
Ecuadorian Copa
30.07.26	LDU Quito - Leones del Norte	6:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
26.07.26	Delfín - Leones del Norte	0:1 ✺
23.07.26	Leones del Norte - Guayaquil City	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	LDU Quito - Leones del Norte	0:1 ✺
15.07.26	Leones del Norte - Deportivo Cuenca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 LWTWT
- Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
26.07.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - LDU Quito	0:1 ✺
21.07.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Libertad Loja	1:0 ✺
15.07.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Guayaquil City	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Emelec - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
10.04.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Leones del Norte	2:1

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