Match Info

Date: 4 May 2022, Wednesday


	Barcelona Guayaquil		Lanús

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.6	Watch
	1.93	3.3	3.9
	1.94	3.25	3.85
	2	3.25	3.45
	1.98	3.55	3.85
	1.95	3	3.9	Watch
	1.95	3.36	3.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.19)	3.3 ↑ (3.15)	3.75 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona Guayaquil
47.1%

Draw
28.1%

Lanús
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

29.5%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

30%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona Guayaquil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	11.1%	61.1%

Barcelona Guayaquil - Lanús Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Lanús will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lanús: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Barcelona Guayaquil is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lanús is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Barcelona Guayaquil could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Barcelona Guayaquil is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Barcelona Guayaquil won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barcelona Guayaquil
Copa Sudamericana
28.04.22	Barcelona Guayaquil - Metropolitanos	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
24.04.22	Deportivo Macará - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:1 ✺
20.04.22	Barcelona Guayaquil - Gualaceo	0:1 ✺
17.04.22	LDU Quito - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
14.04.22	Lanús - Barcelona Guayaquil	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLLL
- CA Lanús
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
30.04.22	Lanús - Independiente	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.04.22	Montevideo Wanderers - Lanús	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
24.04.22	Godoy Cruz - Lanús	1:1 ✺
20.04.22	Lanús - Rosario Central	3:1 ✺
17.04.22	Boca Juniors - Lanús	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
14.04.22	Lanús - Barcelona Guayaquil	3:1

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