Match Info

Liga Pro - Championship Group - Round 2

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado (Quito) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Zambrano Y. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Ecuador	16:30	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	16:30	Zapping Sports


	LDU Quito		Barcelona Guayaquil

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.8	5.75	Watch
	1.53	3.70	5.25
	1.5	3.85	5.5	Watch
	1.56	4.19	6.16
	1.52	4.2	5.9	Watch
	1.54	3.9	6.05
	1.57	3.84	5.82	Watch
	1.51	3.9	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.68)	3.92 ↑ (3.59)	5.73 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LDU Quito
60.3%

Draw
23.5%

Barcelona Guayaquil
16.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.6%

26%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

26.1%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

LDU Quito - Barcelona Guayaquil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Valle G. (G) 30. Allala Menendez G. F. 4. Ade R. (C) 33. Quinonez L. 57. Weigandt M. 20. Cornejo F. 8. Pretell J. 7. Rodriguez L. 23. Quinonez Y. 13. Corozo J. 11. Estrada M.	1. Contreras J. (G) 18. Carabali B. 33. Baez J. 4. Vallecilla G. 15. Perlaza J. 32. Lugo M. 27. Vargas W. 50. Garcia J. 10. Diaz D. (C) 51. Wila J. 11. Rodriguez T.
Substitutes
10. Alvarado A. 67. Carabali J. 28. Cuero Mercado J. W. 16. Deyverson 22. Dominguez A. (G) 5. Gonzalez Baquero S. 3. Mina R. 18. Olvera W. 31. Rodriguez J. 44. Segovia L. 77. Velasco K. 26. Zambrano I.	13. Angulo J. L. (G) 9. Benedetto D. 16. Cano L. 26. Castillo B. 44. Chala Rosales W. J. 8. Diaz S. 80. Gomez J. 23. Martinez T. 70. Mejia M. 7. Mendoza E. 28. Quinonez Ruiz J. R. 14. Rangel A.
Coaches
Alvarez G.	Trobbiani P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Pretell J. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', Carabali B. 🟨,
54', 1 - 1, Cornejo F. ⚽,
57', Allala Menendez G. F. 🟨,
59', Garcia J. ↓, Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ↑,
67', Carabali B. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
67', Wila J. ↓, Benedetto D. ↑,
72', Quinonez L. ↓, Carabali J. ↑,
72', Rodriguez L. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
72', Corozo J. ↓, Velasco K. ↑,
78', Diaz D. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
78', Rodriguez T. ↓, Diaz S. ↑,
79', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. 🟨,
80', Contreras J. 🟨,
82', 2 - 1, Alvarado A. ⚽,
83', Baez J. 🟨,
83', Alvarado A. 🟨,
90', Estrada M. ↓, Deyverson ↑,
90', Cornejo F. ↓, Gonzalez Baquero S. ↑,
90+6', Vargas W. 🟥,
90+6', Deyverson 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 3.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

In this matchup, LDU Quito is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, LDU Quito has recorded 10 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:17 (averaging 1.4:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for LDU Quito against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 17:8 goals (averaging 1.7:0.8 per game).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	LDU Quito	34	15	8	11	37:29	8	53
6	Barcelona SC	33	12	12	9	38:28	10	48

Last Results with these Odds

LDU Quito - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 55.64%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
20.09.26	LDU Quito - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.09.26	LDU Quito - Palmeiras	3:3 penalties ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
12.09.26	LDU Quito - Deportivo Cuenca	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.09.26	Palmeiras - LDU Quito	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
04.09.26	Técnico Universitario - LDU Quito	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLTLW
- Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
13.09.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Delfín	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	SD Aucas - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:1 ✺
02.09.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Independiente del Valle	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Manta - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Orense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
26.07.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - LDU Quito	0:1
03.04.26	LDU Quito - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:2
23.11.25	Barcelona Guayaquil - LDU Quito	2:2
17.10.25	LDU Quito - Barcelona Guayaquil	3:0
24.07.25	Barcelona Guayaquil - LDU Quito	0:1
18.06.25	LDU Quito - Barcelona Guayaquil	3:1
31.08.24	LDU Quito - Barcelona Guayaquil	3:0

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