Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	LDU Quito		Barcelona Guayaquil

	1	X	2
	1.56	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.6	3.55	4.9
	1.64	3.78	5.29
	1.63	3.76	5.2	Watch
	1.58	3.7	5.15
	1.64	3.68	5.28	Watch
	1.61	3.6	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.68)	3.67 ↑ (3.59)	5.17 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LDU Quito
57.2%

Draw
25.1%

Barcelona Guayaquil
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

26%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

26.1%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

LDU Quito - Barcelona Guayaquil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 3.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

LDU Quito carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, LDU Quito has recorded 10 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:17 (averaging 1.4:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for LDU Quito against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 17:8 goals (averaging 1.7:0.8 per game).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	LDU Quito	31	14	7	10	33:25	8	49
6	Barcelona SC	30	11	11	8	32:25	7	44

Last Results with these Odds

LDU Quito - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 55.64%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
20.09.26	LDU Quito - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.09.26	LDU Quito - Palmeiras	3:3 penalties ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
12.09.26	LDU Quito - Deportivo Cuenca	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.09.26	Palmeiras - LDU Quito	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
04.09.26	Técnico Universitario - LDU Quito	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLTLW
- Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
13.09.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Delfín	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	SD Aucas - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:1 ✺
02.09.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Independiente del Valle	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Manta - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Orense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
26.07.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - LDU Quito	0:1
03.04.26	LDU Quito - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:2
23.11.25	Barcelona Guayaquil - LDU Quito	2:2
17.10.25	LDU Quito - Barcelona Guayaquil	3:0
24.07.25	Barcelona Guayaquil - LDU Quito	0:1
18.06.25	LDU Quito - Barcelona Guayaquil	3:1
31.08.24	LDU Quito - Barcelona Guayaquil	3:0

LDU Quito - Barcelona Guayaquil: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide