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Current Win Probability
Barcelona de Ilhéus 23.1%
Draw 31.4%
Vitória Salvador 45.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
14.5%
26.9%
58.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14%
26%
60.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barcelona de Ilhéus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barcelona de Ilhéus's performance.
Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitória Salvador might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona de Ilhéus than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barcelona de Ilhéus that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+15.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitória Salvador could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Barcelona de Ilhéus - Vitória Salvador Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pedro Antonio (G) 4. Bremer 6. Elivelton 73. Gianlucas 5. Guimaraes 2. Jeferson Neves 11. Kaique 99. Neto 88. Rhuan 3. Vital 19. Wesley
71. Yuri (G) 2. de Jesus Soares G. 18. Edenilson 6. Felipe Vieira 63. Lawan 36. Luan Candido 77. Neris 11. Osvaldo 62. Pablo 8. Ronald Lopes 55. Ze Breno
Substitutes
33. Edmilson Junior 18. Emerson 23. Gabriel Hilario 7. Guga Freira 10. Hadrian 77. Marcelinho 21. Matheus Bidick 17. Miqueias 8. Nascimento 22. Neto Rocha (G) 16. Queiroz Nascimento P. H. 12. Simoes Viana W. (G)
4. Diogo Antonio 28. Dudu Miraima 76. Felipe Cardoso 23. Ivan 15. Kauan Vitor 21. Lucas Lohan 7. Luis Miguel 12. Oliveira Reis E. (G) 14. Paulo Roberto 19. Saveiro F. 65. Talero N. 41. Wendell
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Wesley ↓, Hadrian ↑,
46', Ze Breno ↓, Dudu Miraima ↑,
55', Felipe Vieira 🟨,
59', Pablo ↓, Luis Miguel ↑,
59', Felipe Vieira ↓, Kike Saverio ↑,
66', 0 - 1, Lawan ⚽,
71', 0 - 2, Luis Miguel ⚽,
73', Osvaldo ↓, Kauan Vitor ↑,
84', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Baiano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Vitória may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Vitória is the clear favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.5:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
Watch
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Pedro Antonio (G) 
Saveiro F. 
Talero N. 
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