Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 31

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday


	Barco		Arosa

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.98	2.15
	3.14	2.94	2.14
	8.74	4.79	1.32	Watch
	3.2	2.88	2.2
	3.25	3	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↑ (2.94)	3.32 ↑ (3.2)	2 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barco
22.4%

Draw
29.1%

Arosa
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

28.6%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

28.6%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barco's form might have worsened.

Arosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arosa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barco than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arosa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Barco - Arosa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barco won 0.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Barco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Barco won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 1:1.9).

Including home match between the teams, Barco won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Barco	5	3	1	1	6:4	2	10

Last Results with these Odds

Arosa - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.19%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Barco
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
11.04.26	Atlético Arteixo - Barco	5:1 ✺
05.04.26	Barco - Noia	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	RC Villalbes - Barco	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Barco - Barbadás	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	Alondras - Barco	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LWWWW
- Arosa SC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
12.04.26	Arosa - Compostela	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Estradense - Arosa	1:1 ✺
02.04.26	Arosa - RC Villalbes	3:1 ✺
29.03.26	Arosa - Somozas	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Montañeros - Arosa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
14.12.25	Arosa - Barco	2:0
15.01.23	Arosa - Barco	2:1
11.09.22	Barco - Arosa	0:1
30.01.21	Arosa - Barco	2:2
15.12.19	Arosa - Barco	2:1
07.04.19	Arosa - Barco	2:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
12.11.17	Arosa - Barco	2:2

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