Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 9

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio San Nicola (Bari) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pasculli M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	14:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Bari		Giugliano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.49	3.80	5.50
	1.52	3.75	5.3	Watch
	1.66	3.64	5.54
	1.52	3.82	6	Watch
	1.64	3.5	5.4
	1.68	3.54	5.2	Watch
	1.54	3.8	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.41)	3.69 ↓ (4.4)	5.45 ↓ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bari
58.2%

Draw
24.9%

Giugliano
16.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.8%

20.7%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

19.9%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bari's form might have worsened.

Giugliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giugliano than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Bari - Giugliano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Cerofolini M. (G) 6. Mogos V. 72. Cocetta N. 79. Elia M. 14. Anzolin M. 25. Maggiore G. (C) 8. Grgic L. 44. Mendicino L. 21. Della Morte M. 7. Butic K. 11. Tribuzzi A.	1. Bolletta L. (G) 5. Pedro Justiniano 23. Laezza G. 24. Caldore M. 16. Improta R. 4. Zammarini R. 8. De Rosa R. (C) 64. Varone I. 3. Panico C. 7. Galletta U. 10. Balde I.
Substitutes
24. Bianchi F. 27. Burgio R. 32. Colangiuli V. 77. Esposito M. 19. Mane M. 12. Mezzapesa A. (G) 48. Nicolas Andrade (G) 95. Prisco V.	79. Basile G. 30. Borgnino M. 6. Broh J. 19. Cimmaruta A. 99. Cuomo S. 17. Esposito G. 21. Forciniti L. 31. Giordano L. 77. Greco S. (G) 33. La Vardera S. 26. Minelli A. 44. Peluso L. 86. Ponte V. 12. Santarelli L. (G) 78. Silvestri P.
Coaches
Rastelli M.	Napoli R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Butic K. ⚽,
24', Zammarini R. 🟨,
31', Laezza G. 🟨,
45', 2 - 0, Maggiore G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zammarini R. ↓, Esposito G. ↑,
46', Laezza G. ↓, La Vardera S. ↑,
59', Mendicino L. 🟨,
60', Tribuzzi A. ↓, Bianchi F. ↑,
64', Panico C. 🟨,
64', Varone I. ↓, Peluso L. ↑,
65', Panico C. ↓, Cimmaruta A. ↑,
84', Grgic L. ↓, Prisco V. ↑,
90', Balde I. ↓, Cuomo S. ↑,
90', Della Morte M. ↓, Colangiuli V. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/8 - finals) and 18th in the Serie C - Play Out).

Bari is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Giugliano have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Giugliano could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Bari is considered the favorite to take the win.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bari	11	6	3	2	14:7	7	21
18	Giugliano	11	3	1	7	15:29	-14	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Bari
Italian Serie C Group C
04.10.26	Salernitana - Bari	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Bari - Nuova Cosenza	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Sorrento - Bari	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	Bari - Potenza	0:0 ✺
11.09.26	Altamura - Bari	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWTW
- Giugliano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
03.10.26	Giugliano - Barletta	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Salernitana - Giugliano	1:0 ✺
15.09.26	Giugliano - Nuova Cosenza	5:2 ✺
11.09.26	Audace Cerignola - Giugliano	4:0 ✺
05.09.26	Giugliano - Sorrento	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWLL

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