Match Info

Serie B - Round 15

Date: 8 December 2025, Monday

Location: Stadio San Nicola (Bari)

Referee: Marcenaro M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus
World	Onefootball


	Bari		Pescara

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.3	3.6	Watch
	2	3.2	3.7	Watch
	2.08	3.34	4.01
	2.03	3.28	3.76	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.5
	2	3.3	3.78	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.66)	3.26 ↓ (3.72)	3.74 ↓ (5.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bari
46.1%

Draw
28.8%

Pescara
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

25.1%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

24.3%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bari's form might have worsened.

Pescara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pescara's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pescara than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pescara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	30.8%	19.2%

Bari - Pescara Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Bari will win (votes: 13 - 50%). Pescara will win (votes: 5 - 19.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bari: 30.8% – 69.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bari (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Pescara (1.73) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Bari (votes: 2 - 40%). Pescara (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Cerofolini M. (G) 13. Meroni A. 23. Vicari F. (C) 43. Nikolaou D. 24. Dickmann L. 27. Braunoder M. 29. Verreth M. 93. Dorval M. 4. Castrovilli G. 8. Pagano R. 11. Moncini G.	1. Desplanches S. (G) 26. Gravillon A. 13. Brosco R. (C) 3. Letizia G. 19. Faraoni D. 27. Olzer G. 14. Valzania L. 8. Dagasso M. 16. Corazza T. 74. Tsadjout F. 9. Di Nardo A.
Substitutes
16. Antonucci M. 3. Burgio R. 99. Cerri L. 32. Colangiuli V. 9. Gytkjaer C. 15. Kassama S. 18. Maggiore G. 30. Mane M. 21. Partipilo A. 1. Pissardo M. (G) 25. Pucino R. 17. Rao E.	5. Brandes J. 21. Caligara F. 11. Cangiano G. 2. Capellini R. 95. Corbo G. 20. Graziani L. 7. Meazzi L. 17. Okwonkwo O. 22. Saio I. (G) 18. Sgarbi L. 15. Tonin R. 31. Vinciguerra A.
Coaches
Vivarini V.	Gorgone G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Di Nardo A. ⚽, Corazza T. (A),
31', Olzer G. 🟥,
35', Dorval M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Vicari F. ↓, Maggiore G. ↑,
46', Verreth M. ↓, Gytkjaer C. ↑,
46', Tsadjout F. ↓, Tonin R. ↑,
56', Di Nardo A. 🟨,
59', Letizia G. 🟨,
60', Nikolaou D. 🟨,
65', Moncini G. (Penalty Awarded),
65', Corazza T. ↓, Meazzi L. ↑,
67', Meroni A. 🟨,
69', Pagano R. ↓, Antonucci M. ↑,
69', Moncini G. ↓, Cerri L. ↑,
72', Castrovilli G. 🟨,
73', Braunoder M. 🟨,
79', Valzania L. ↓, Caligara F. ↑,
79', Nikolaou D. ↓, Pucino R. ↑,
81', Desplanches S. 🟨,
82', 1 - 1, Maggiore G. ⚽, Dorval M. (A),
88', Di Nardo A. ↓, Capellini R. ↑,
88', Faraoni D. ↓, Sgarbi L. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bari won 1.

Bari has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pescara has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Bari may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bari could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Bari: Darboe E. (Thigh Injury) Maggiore G. (Rest) Pereiro G. (Injury)

There will not play in Pescara: Merola D. (Thigh Injury) Oliveri A. (Muscle Injury) Pellacani F. (Knee Injury) Squizzato N. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Bari won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 1.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Bari won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 0.8:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Bari
Italian Serie B
04.12.25	Juve Stabia - Bari	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Empoli - Bari	5:0 ✺
22.11.25	Bari - Frosinone	2:3 ✺
07.11.25	Spezia - Bari	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Bari - Cesena	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TLLTW
- Pescara
Italian Serie B
29.11.25	Pescara - Padova	0:1 ✺
21.11.25	Catanzaro - Pescara	3:3 ✺
09.11.25	Pescara - Monza	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Palermo - Pescara	5:0 ✺
28.10.25	Pescara - Avellino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
14.04.18	Pescara - Bari	2:2
12.11.17	Bari - Pescara	1:0
30.01.16	Pescara - Bari	3:1
19.09.15	Bari - Pescara	0:0
20.03.15	Pescara - Bari	0:0
28.10.14	Bari - Pescara	1:1
22.02.14	Bari - Pescara	1:0

Upcoming Matches