The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bari 30.9%
Draw 28.6%
Frosinone 40.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.8%
28.8%
37.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.1%
30.3%
39.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
60%
40%
Bari - Frosinone Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Frosinone will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% โ 90.4%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Bari (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Frosinone (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Cerofolini M. (G) 23. Vicari F. 13. Meroni A. 43. Nikolaou D. 24. Dickmann L. 8. Pagano R. 29. Verreth M. 16. Antonucci M. 4. Castrovilli G. 11. Moncini G. 9. Gytkjaer C.
22. Palmisani L. (G) 20. Oyono A. 3. Calvani G. 30. Monterisi I. 79. Bracaglia G. 14. Calo G. 8. Koutsoupias I. 92. Kone B. L. 7. Ghedjemis F. 9. Raimondo A. 17. Kvernadze G.
Substitutes
10. Bellomo N. 27. Braunoder M. 3. Burgio R. 99. Cerri L. 15. Kassama S. 18. Maggiore G. 30. Mane M. 21. Partipilo A. 1. Pissardo M. (G) 25. Pucino R. 17. Rao E.
16. Cichella M. 2. Cittadini G. 19. Corrado N. 10. Gelli F. 6. Gelli J. 18. Grosso F. 5. Marchizza R. 21. Oyono J. 75. Pisseri M. (G) 1. Sherri A. (G) 90. Vergani E. 28. Zilli M.
Coaches
Caserta F.
Alvini M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 3)
12', 0 - 1, Raimondo A. ⚽, Monterisi I. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Verreth M. ⚽,
27', 1 - 2, Bracaglia G. ⚽, Calo G. (A),
34', Vicari F. 🟨,
42', 1 - 3, Ghedjemis F. ⚽,
42', Dickmann L. 🟨,
45+3', 2 - 3, Castrovilli G. ⚽, Antonucci M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gytkjaer C. ↓, Partipilo A. ↑,
46', Oyono A. 🟨,
62', Pagano R. ↓, Maggiore G. ↑,
62', Antonucci M. ↓, Rao E. ↑,
65', Kvernadze G. ↓, Corrado N. ↑,
69', Bracaglia G. 🟨,
75', Bracaglia G. ↓, Cittadini G. ↑,
75', Kone B. L. ↓, Cichella M. ↑,
80', Vicari F. ↓, Cerri L. ↑,
80', Castrovilli G. ↓, Braunoder M. ↑,
86', Raimondo A. ↓, Zilli M. ↑,
86', Calo G. ↓, Gelli F. ↑,
86', Monterisi I. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bari won 3.
Bari is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Frosinone's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Bari may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Bari: Darboe E.
(Injury)
Vicari F.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Frosinone: Barcella K.
(Muscle Injury)
Biraschi D.
(Knee Injury)
Gelli F.
(Injury)
Gori L.
(Knee Injury)
Monterisi I.
(Muscle Injury)
Selvini A.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Bari won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.7:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Bari won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 1.6:0.2).
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Cerofolini M. (G) 
Nikolaou D. 
Verreth M. 
Gytkjaer C. 
Oyono A. 
Kone B. L. 
Ghedjemis F. 
Kvernadze G. 
Braunoder M. 
Sherri A. (G) 
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