Match Info

Serie B - Round 10

Date: 4 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadio Romeo Menti (Castellammare di Stabia)


	Juve Stabia		Bari

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.78	3.3	4.65	Watch
	1.81	3.41	5.18
	1.79	3.36	4.85	Watch
	1.8	3.2	4.75
	1.83	3.46	4.83	Watch
	1.8	3.33	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.99)	3.35 ↓ (3.38)	4.82 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juve Stabia
52.4%

Draw
28.1%

Bari
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

27.3%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

26.1%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juve Stabia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juve Stabia's performance.

Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bari might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bari could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	12.1%	6.1%

Juve Stabia - Bari Predictions

Users Predictions: Juve Stabia will win (27 of 32 users predict this - 84.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.8% – 96.96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Juve Stabia will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Confente A. (G) 4. Ruggero M. 33. Giorgini A. 19. Stabile G. 24. Carissoni L. 10. Pierobon C. 55. Leone G. 29. Correia O. 77. Cacciamani A. 9. Gabrielloni A. 27. Candellone L. (C)	31. Cerofolini M. (G) 13. Meroni A. 23. Vicari F. (C) 43. Nikolaou D. 24. Dickmann L. 29. Verreth M. 8. Pagano R. 93. Dorval M. 27. Braunoder M. 4. Castrovilli G. 11. Moncini G.
Substitutes
15. Baldi M. 6. Bellich M. 23. Boer P. (G) 17. Ciammaglichella A. 21. De Pieri G. 20. Duca E. 37. Maistro F. 76. Mannini M. 98. Mosti N. 11. Piscopo K. 3. Reale F. 16. Signorini A. (G)	16. Antonucci M. 10. Bellomo N. 3. Burgio R. 99. Cerri L. 32. Colangiuli V. 9. Gytkjaer C. 15. Kassama S. 30. Mane M. 21. Partipilo A. 1. Pissardo M. (G) 25. Pucino R. 17. Rao E.
Coaches
Abate I.	Vivarini V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Pierobon C. 🟨,
25', Castrovilli G. 🟨,
38', Dorval M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Cacciamani A. 🟨,
55', Cacciamani A. ↓, Piscopo K. ↑,
57', Piscopo K. 🟨,
63', Pierobon C. ↓, Mosti N. ↑,
63', Leone G. ↓, Maistro F. ↑,
68', Moncini G. ↓, Gytkjaer C. ↑,
68', Pagano R. ↓, Rao E. ↑,
79', Castrovilli G. ↓, Partipilo A. ↑,
79', Vicari F. ↓, Pucino R. ↑,
80', Stabile G. ↓, Mannini M. ↑,
80', Ruggero M. ↓, Bellich M. ↑,
87', Correia O. 🟨,
90+5', Partipilo A. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juve Stabia won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Juve Stabia could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Juve Stabia: Battistella T. (Knee Injury) Ciammaglichella A. (Overload) Gabrielloni A. (Injury) Morachioli G. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There will not play in Bari: Antonucci M. (Injury) Sibilli G. (Inactive) Vicari F. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Juve Stabia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Juve Stabia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juve Stabia
Italian Serie B
30.11.25	Juve Stabia - Monza	2:2 ✺
24.11.25	Sampdoria - Juve Stabia	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Juve Stabia - Palermo	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Modena - Juve Stabia	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Padova - Juve Stabia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLWLT
- AS Bari
Italian Serie B
29.11.25	Empoli - Bari	5:0 ✺
22.11.25	Bari - Frosinone	2:3 ✺
07.11.25	Spezia - Bari	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Bari - Cesena	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Bari - Mantova	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
09.02.25	Juve Stabia - Bari	3:1
17.08.24	Bari - Juve Stabia	1:3
Italian Serie C Group C
16.03.22	Bari - Juve Stabia	1:0
06.11.21	Juve Stabia - Bari	1:0
03.03.21	Juve Stabia - Bari	0:2
08.11.20	Bari - Juve Stabia	2:0
Italian Serie B
10.05.14	Bari - Juve Stabia	3:0

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