Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 37

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Libero Liberati (Terni)

Referee: Fourneau F. (Ita)


	Ternana		Catanzaro

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.5	2.45	Watch
	2.65	3.5	2.37
	2.75	3.6	2.35	Watch
	2.49	3.59	2.79
	2.81	3.7	2.45
	2.38	3.4	2.75
	2.72	3.75	2.38	Watch
	2.75	3.5	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.36)	3.57 ↑ (3.5)	2.49 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ternana
35.5%

Draw
26.5%

Catanzaro
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

27%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

27.5%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Catanzaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Catanzaro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ternana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Catanzaro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Ternana - Catanzaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ternana will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Catanzaro will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Vitali T. (G) 27. Favasuli C. 6. Dalle Mura C. 44. Lucchesi L. 15. Casasola T. (C) 71. Luperini G. 72. Amatucci L. 16. Faticanti G. 28. Di Stefano F. 10. Pereiro G. 79. Carboni F.	1. Fulignati A. (G) 72. Veroli D. 4. Antonini Lui M. 14. Scognamillo S. 92. Situm M. 10. Petriccione J. 33. Oliveri A. 20. Pontisso S. 27. Vandeputte J. 9. Iemmello P. 28. Biasci T.
Substitutes
2. Bonugli M. 8. de Boer K. 65. Dionisi F. 21. Ferrara C. 22. Franchi D. (G) 25. Labojko J. 76. Novelli F. (G) 9. Raimondo A. 4. Sorensen F. 24. Viviani F. 3. Zoia R.	22. Borrelli E. (G) 17. Brignola E. 99. Donnarumma A. 32. Krajnc L. 44. Miranda K. 21. Pompetti M. 40. Rafele G. 16. Sala A. (G) 19. Stoppa M. 8. Verna L. 41. Viotti A.
Coaches
Breda R.	Vivarini V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Casasola T. 🟨,
34', Vandeputte J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Petriccione J. 🟨,
55', Pontisso S. 🟨,
59', Vandeputte J. ↓, Stoppa M. ↑,
59', Iemmello P. ↓, Donnarumma A. ↑,
66', Carboni F. ↓, Dionisi F. ↑,
69', Pontisso S. ↓, Pompetti M. ↑,
69', Oliveri A. ↓, Miranda K. ↑,
73', Faticanti G. ↓, Viviani F. ↑,
73', Pereiro G. ↓, Raimondo A. ↑,
78', 1 - 0, Di Stefano F. ⚽,
83', Di Stefano F. ↓, Zoia R. ↑,
90+2', Situm M. ↓, Verna L. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ternana won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Ternana won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie B
01.05.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Ternana	4:3 ✺
27.04.24	Ternana - Ascoli	0:1 ✺
20.04.24	Brescia - Ternana	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Cremonese - Ternana	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Ternana - Modena	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LLTWT
- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie B
01.05.24	Catanzaro - Venezia	3:2 ✺
26.04.24	Pisa - Catanzaro	2:2 ✺
20.04.24	Catanzaro - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
12.04.24	Modena - Catanzaro	1:3 ✺
06.04.24	Catanzaro - Como	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
27.08.23	Catanzaro - Ternana	2:1
Italian Serie C Group C
27.02.21	Catanzaro - Ternana	2:1
01.11.20	Ternana - Catanzaro	5:1
01.12.19	Catanzaro - Ternana	1:3
Coppa Italia
17.08.14	Ternana - Catanzaro	2:1

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