The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Cittadella 32.7%
Draw 29.8%
Bari 37.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.7%
29.9%
39.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.3%
29.5%
39.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cittadella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.2%
36.4%
45.5%
Cittadella - Bari Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Cittadella will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Bari will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bari: 19% โ 81%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Bari (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cittadella (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bari (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
36. Kastrati E. (G) 2. Salvi A. 13. Capradossi E. 4. Angeli M. 24. Carissoni L. 17. Tronchin S. 26. Pavan N. (C) 8. Amatucci F. 37. Palmieri R. 18. Tessiore A. 31. Okwonkwo O.
22. Pissardo M. (G) 25. Pucino R. 23. Vicari F. 3. Mantovani V. 7. Oliveri A. 28. Lella N. 17. Maiello R. 19. Falletti C. 93. Dorval M. 11. Bonfanti N. 99. Favilli A.
Substitutes
45. Cardinali M. (G) 5. Casolari F. 19. D'Alessio F. 11. Desogus J. 78. Maniero L. (G) 6. Matino E. 7. Pandolfi L. 35. Piccinini S. 21. Rabbi S. 74. Sanogo A. 16. Vita A. 20. Voltan D.
12. De Lucci P. (G) 27. Favasuli C. 15. Lasagna K. 21. Maggiore G. 45. Marfella D. (G) 9. Novakovich A. 55. Obaretin N. 20. Pereiro G. 94. Saco C. 44. Simic L. 13. Tripaldelli A.
Coaches
Dal Canto A.
Longo M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Salvi A. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Favilli A. ⚽, Dorval M. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Tessiore A. ↓, Rabbi S. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Rabbi S. ⚽,
55', Maiello R. 🟨,
59', Favilli A. 🟨,
60', Bonfanti N. ↓, Lasagna K. ↑,
60', Favilli A. ↓, Novakovich A. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Palmieri R. ⚽, Salvi A. (A),
67', Palmieri R. 🟨,
67', Okwonkwo O. ↓, Pandolfi L. ↑,
69', Palmieri R. ↓, D'Alessio F. ↑,
72', Oliveri A. ↓, Maggiore G. ↑,
80', Maiello R. ↓, Pereiro G. ↑,
81', 3 - 1, Pandolfi L. ⚽, Rabbi S. (A),
87', Pereiro G. 🟨,
90+5', Tronchin S. ↓, Vita A. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cittadella won 0.
Cittadella is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Bari has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Cittadella: Cecchetto A.
(Inactive)
Diaw D.
(Inactive)
Djibril A.
(Injury)
Masciangelo E.
(Yellow Cards)
Negro S.
(Injury)
Rizza A.
(Injury)
There will not play in Bari: Maita M.
(Yellow Cards)
Radunovic B.
(Yellow Cards)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Cittadella won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 0.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Cittadella won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.8:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Cittadella - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 30.75%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.