Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 22

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio San Nicola (Bari)

Referee: Arena A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 GOLD Israel, 5 STARS Israel
Italy	DAZN Italia
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3


	Bari		Brescia

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	4	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.75
	2.1	3.1	3.75	Watch
	2.06	3.18	3.99	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3.6
	2.03	3.35	3.84	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.02)	3.15 ↓ (3.36)	3.81 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bari
45.4%

Draw
29.9%

Brescia
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

27.9%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

28.2%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	57.1%	28.6%

Bari - Brescia Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Bari will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Brescia will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Radunovic B. (G) 25. Pucino R. 44. Simic L. 3. Mantovani V. 7. Oliveri A. 28. Lella N. 8. Benali A. 4. Maita M. 93. Dorval M. 19. Falletti C. 10. Bellomo N.	1. Lezzerini L. (G) 24. Dickmann L. 32. Papetti A. 28. Adorni D. 19. Corrado N. 26. Bertagnoli M. 25. Bisoli D. 27. Olzer G. 23. Galazzi N. 20. Nuamah P. 9. Bianchi F.
Substitutes
27. Favasuli C. 99. Favilli A. 18. Manzari G. 45. Marfella D. (G) 55. Obaretin N. 22. Pissardo M. (G) 94. Saco C. 20. Sibilli G. 13. Tripaldelli A.	22. Andrenacci L. (G) 39. Besaggio M. 5. Calvani G. 15. Cistana A. 14. Maucci G. 33. Muca Z. 4. Paghera F.
Coaches
Longo M.	Bisoli P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Lella N. ⚽, Oliveri A. (A),
8', Nuamah P. 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Bianchi F. ⚽, Olzer G. (A),
41', 2 - 1, Bellomo N. ⚽, Pucino R. (A),
44', Bianchi F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Corrado N. ↓, Besaggio M. ↑,
46', Papetti A. ↓, Calvani G. ↑,
63', Benali A. 🟨,
66', 2 - 2, Bisoli D. ⚽, Galazzi N. (A),
68', Bertagnoli M. ↓, Cistana A. ↑,
69', Benali A. ↓, Favilli A. ↑,
70', Oliveri A. ↓, Favasuli C. ↑,
70', Bellomo N. ↓, Sibilli G. ↑,
78', Falletti C. ↓, Manzari G. ↑,
81', Bianchi F. ↓, Paghera F. ↑,
90+3', Cistana A. ↓, Muca Z. ↑,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bari won 4.

Bari is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Brescia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bari will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Brescia: Borrelli G. (Yellow Cards) Juric A. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Bari: Favilli A. (Injury) Tripaldelli A. (Injury)

Last 18 head-to-head matches Bari won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 33:21 (average 1.8:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Bari won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20:9 (average 2.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Bari
Italian Serie B
12.01.25	Reggiana - Bari	0:0 ✺
29.12.24	Bari - Spezia	2:0 ✺
26.12.24	Palermo - Bari	1:0 ✺
21.12.24	Bari - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:1 ✺
13.12.24	Pisa - Bari	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWLLL
- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
12.01.25	Brescia - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
29.12.24	Cremonese - Brescia	1:1 ✺
26.12.24	Brescia - Modena	3:3 ✺
20.12.24	Salernitana - Brescia	0:0 ✺
15.12.24	Brescia - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
30.11.24	Brescia - Bari	1:1
10.05.24	Bari - Brescia	2:0
29.10.23	Brescia - Bari	1:2
25.02.23	Brescia - Bari	0:2
01.10.22	Bari - Brescia	6:2
24.03.18	Bari - Brescia	3:0
23.10.17	Brescia - Bari	2:1

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