The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bali United Pusam 26.1%
Draw 23.3%
Borneo Samarinda 50.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27%
22.4%
50.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.2%
21.8%
52.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bali United Pusam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
The chances for Borneo Samarinda have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bali United Pusam than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borneo Samarinda than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
0%
62.5%
Bali United Pusam - Borneo Samarinda Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Bali United will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Borneo will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Borneo: 29% – 96%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hauptmeijer M. (G) 7. Goppel T. 5. Adi B. 2. Ferrari J. 24. Fajrin R. (C) 18. Kadek Agung 14. Receveur T. 17. Yachida T. 47. Arjuna R. 9. Kopitovic B. 41. Jaya I.
1. Argawinata N. (C) 50. Enero 5. Cleylton 22. Nduwarugira C. 23. Caxambu 54. Buffon A. 20. Villa J. 8. Hirose K. 99. Sihran M. 9. Obieta K. 10. Peralta M.
Substitutes
4. Arel K. 55. Made T. 77. Meilana Y. 10. Mustafic M. 91. Rahmat 19. Raven J. 16. Rizky Dwi 95. Rustapa F. (G) 42. Simon M. 21. Wayan Arta (G) 6. Wilson B.
52. Ahmad Agung 14. Anez M. 11. Fachgi R. 63. Fasya D. (G) 66. Hardiansyah D. 3. Idrus A. 68. Jusuf H. 96. Kaio Nunes 88. Kuswardani D. 16. Teguh K. 30. Trisna S. (G) 6. Zikrak I.
Coaches
Jansen J.
Lefundes F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Yachida T. ⚽, Kopitovic B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Cleylton ↓, Kaio Nunes ↑,
46', Sihran M. ↓, Teguh K. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Peralta M. ⚽,
73', Goppel T. ↓, Rizky Dwi ↑,
73', Jaya I. ↓, Simon M. ↑,
74', 1 - 2, Peralta M. (Penalty Awarded),
76', 2 - 2, Caxambu (Own goal),
79', 2 - 3, Villa J. ⚽, Kaio Nunes (A),
83', Kadek Agung ↓, Wilson B. ↑,
83', Obieta K. ↓, Anez M. ↑,
87', Adi B. ↓, Raven J. ↑,
87', Arjuna R. ↓, Mustafic M. ↑,
87', Rizky Dwi 🟨,
90+5', Villa J. ↓, Ahmad Agung ↑,
90+5', Buffon A. ↓, Idrus A. ↑,
90+11', Anez M. 🟨,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Challenge League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bali United won 2.
Bali United has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Borneo is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In this match, Borneo is seen as the favorite.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Bali United won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:40. (average 1.2:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Bali United won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.9:1.4).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Bali United
4
3
0
1
12:4
8
9
11
Borneo
4
2
0
2
3:4
-1
6
Last Results with these Odds
Borneo Samarinda - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 50.6%, but this team recently wins 90% of matches with these odds.
Indonesia
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Hauptmeijer M. (G) 
Adi B. 
Ferrari J. 
Yachida T. 
Kopitovic B. 
Nduwarugira C. 
Villa J. 
Obieta K. 
Peralta M. 
Mustafic M. 
Wilson B. 
Anez M. 
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