Match Info

INDONESIA: Liga 1 - Round 20

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Demang Lehman Stadium (Martapura)

Where to Watch on TV:


India	Vision+
Indonesia	Indosiar, K-Vision, Vidio


	Barito Putera		Persebaya Surabaya

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.25
	2.85	3.2	2.29	Watch
	2.9	3.33	2.47
	2.96	3.29	2.36	Watch
	3	3.2	2.25
	2.81	3.26	2.29
	2.85	3.2	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.85)	3.23 ↓ (3.34)	2.31 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barito Putera
31.9%

Draw
28.5%

Persebaya Surabaya
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

27.5%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

26.4%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barito Putera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Persebaya Surabaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barito Putera than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persebaya Surabaya than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Barito Putera - Persebaya Surabaya Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Barito Putera will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Persebaya will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
86. Tama S. (G) 24. Daffa A. 4. Anderson Nascimento 36. Alves Renan 22. Sasongko N. 14. Nurzaidin N. 7. Madinda L. 8. Morelatto 5. Mier M. 26. Pora R. 98. Eksel R.	21. Ari E. (G) 2. Catur A. 23. Raditya K. 15. Damjanovic S. 28. Suaib A. 6. Costa G. 74. Rashid M. 17. Silva F. 10. Bruno 79. Malik R. 91. Tumbas D.
Substitutes
85. Firly M. 59. Hendrawan W. (G) 6. Infantrie T. 2. Kaffa A. B. 77. Moon C. 31. Murilo 95. Prakastiwi G. T. (G) 99. Santoso R. B. 18. Siringo N.	64. Arya A. (G) 77. Botan K. 4. Dimov D. 27. Fernando O. 3. Idrus A. 32. Lauhim R. 18. May R. 8. Oktaviansyah A. 52. Ramadhani A. (G) 9. Rizky D.
Coaches
Darmawan R.	Munster P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Mier M. ⚽, Daffa A. (A),
20', Suaib A. 🟨,
23', 2 - 0, Mier M. ⚽, Morelatto (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Suaib A. ↓, Idrus A. ↑,
59', Morelatto ↓, Murilo ↑,
64', Daffa A. ↓, Kaffa A. B. ↑,
64', Eksel R. ↓, Moreno Ciorciari J. J. ↑,
74', Damjanovic S. ↓, Dimov D. ↑,
80', Costa G. ↓, Botan K. ↑,
80', Malik R. ↓, Fernando O. ↑,
81', Nurzaidin N. 🟨,
82', Sasongko N. ↓, Infantrie T. ↑,
82', Pora R. ↓, Santoso R. B. ↑,
85', Silva F. 🟨,
90+2', Tumbas D. ↓, Rizky D. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 0, Mier M. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barito Putera won 2.

The competitors look crappy now.

Persebaya Surabaya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Persebaya Surabaya will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Barito Putera won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:15 (average 1.5:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Barito Putera won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:4 (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PS Barito Putera
Indonesian Super League
18.01.25	Madura United - Barito Putera	2:4 ✺
10.01.25	Barito Putera - Persija Jakarta	2:3 ✺
29.12.24	Barito Putera - PSIS Semarang	0:0 ✺
22.12.24	PSM Makassar - Barito Putera	3:2 ✺
18.12.24	Barito Putera - Persib Bandung	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLTLL
- Persebaya Surabaya
Indonesian Super League
17.01.25	Persebaya Surabaya - Java United	0:2 ✺
11.01.25	PSS Sleman - Persebaya Surabaya	3:1 ✺
28.12.24	Bali United Pusam - Persebaya Surabaya	2:0 ✺
20.12.24	Persebaya Surabaya - Borneo Samarinda	2:1 ✺
15.12.24	Semen Padang - Persebaya Surabaya	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
23.08.24	Persebaya Surabaya - Barito Putera	2:1
09.11.23	Barito Putera - Persebaya Surabaya	2:0
08.07.23	Persebaya Surabaya - Barito Putera	1:1
09.03.23	Barito Putera - Persebaya Surabaya	2:1
06.12.22	Persebaya Surabaya - Barito Putera	3:2
14.03.22	Barito Putera - Persebaya Surabaya	1:1
04.12.21	Persebaya Surabaya - Barito Putera	2:0

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