The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Marcos de Arica 48.8%
Draw 28.9%
Cobreloa 22.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39%
29.1%
31.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.7%
29.7%
31.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Marcos de Arica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Marcos de Arica's performance.
Cobreloa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cobreloa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Marcos de Arica that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cobreloa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
66.7%
33.3%
San Marcos de Arica - Cobreloa Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Cobreloa will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Tapia B. (G) 15. Cubillos G. 23. Cazula A. 5. Rivera J. 3. Aguila Bastias Y. M. 14. Guerra C. 26. Rencoret C. (C) 10. Sagredo B. 22. Donadell N. 9. Melivilu Fuentes C. 18. Galleguillos A.
30. Tapia D. (G) 3. Gonzalez Y. 15. Garcia D. 5. Gonzalez R. (C) 8. Cornejo L. 14. Aranguiz T. 21. Muga C. 29. Gatica J. 32. Velazco F. 7. Zuniga S. 11. Gotti G.
Substitutes
20. Abalos A. 8. Barrios A. 4. Iturra M. 24. Pereira D. 16. Reyes G. 1. Saracho R. (G) 11. Zedan N.
1. Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 22. Delgado A. 31. Gallardo E. 20. Matamoros F. 18. Mendez J. 24. Porras R. 27. Sandoval M.
Coaches
Sandrock I.
Bravo C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Melivilu Fuentes C. ⚽,
40', Rivera J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Rencoret C. ↓, Barrios A. ↑,
46', Gonzalez Y. ↓, Delgado A. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Velazco F. ⚽,
62', Cubillos G. 🟨,
72', 2 - 1, Melivilu Fuentes C. ⚽,
73', Galleguillos A. ↓, Abalos A. ↑,
73', Sagredo B. ↓, Reyes G. ↑,
75', Velazco F. ↓, Sandoval M. ↑,
77', Gotti G. 🟨,
83', Aranguiz T. ↓, Gallardo E. ↑,
85', Cazula A. ↓, Iturra M. ↑,
90', Melivilu Fuentes C. ↓, Zedan N. ↑,
90+3', Tapia B. 🟨,
90+5', Reyes G. 🟨,
Preview
First leg result: 1-2. Aggregate: 4-3. 2nd leg.
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 1.
Now, both teams are in good form.
Cobreloa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:33. (average 1.1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, San Marcos de Arica won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.6:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Cobreloa
26
13
9
4
44:27
17
48
7
San Marcos de Arica
26
10
9
7
33:24
9
39
Last Results with these Odds
Cobreloa - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 31.88%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Tapia B. (G) 
Cazula A. 
Muga C. 
Zedan N. 
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