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Current Win Probability
Barnet 57.9%
Draw 22.8%
Crawley Town 19.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.4%
25%
18.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.5%
18.8%
24.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-15.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barnet that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crawley Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
0%
14.3%
Barnet - Crawley Town Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Barnet will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barnet will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Slicker C. (G) 5. Senior A. 4. Collinge D. (C) 25. Tavares N. 11. Kanu I. 28. Ofoborh N. 30. Kizzi J. 19. Shelton M. 16. Winterburn B. 15. Glover R. 9. Ndlovu L.
1. Davies H. (G) 5. Barker C. 3. Conroy D. (C) 28. Flint J. 42. Vassell T. 32. Richards T. 4. Bajrami G. 26. Williams J. 7. Forster H. 13. McKirdy H. 21. Loft R.
Substitutes
35. Adeniran D. 27. Assombalonga B. 13. Evans O. (G) 18. Hartigan A. 12. Hawkins O. 20. Hugill J. 23. Smith K.
22. Adeyemo A. 10. Brown R. 24. Dixon K. 11. Roles J. 9. Tshimanga K. 27. Watson L. 34. Wollacott J. (G)
Coaches
Brennan D.
Lindsey S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Kizzi J. ⚽, Shelton M. (A),
25', Loft R. ↓, Tshimanga K. ↑,
27', Ofoborh N. 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, McKirdy H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Ndlovu L. ↓, Hawkins O. ↑,
64', Kanu I. ↓, Adeniran D. ↑,
64', Ofoborh N. ↓, Assombalonga B. ↑,
66', Vassell T. 🟨,
67', Richards T. ↓, Watson L. ↑,
72', Williams J. 🟨,
76', 2 - 1, Kizzi J. ⚽,
80', Forster H. ↓, Adeyemo A. ↑,
80', McKirdy H. ↓, Dixon K. ↑,
90', Glover R. ↓, Hugill J. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 20).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 1.
Recent performances by Barnet have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Crawley's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Barnet is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Crawley: Anderson M.
(Thigh Injury)
Cashman D.
(Inactive)
Flower L.
(Inactive)
Malone S.
(Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.6:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Barnet won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Barnet: 9.84%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Barnet
7
4
3
0
17:10
7
15
24
Crawley
7
1
1
5
6:13
-7
4
Last Results with these Odds
Barnet - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 56.43%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
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Slicker C. (G) 
Senior A. 
Tavares N. 
Kanu I. 
Ofoborh N. 
Ndlovu L. 
Bajrami G. 
Williams J. 
Assombalonga B. 
Evans O. (G) 
Dixon K. 
Roles J. 
Watson L. 
Wollacott J. (G) 
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