The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bristol Rovers 42.1%
Draw 26.4%
Barnet 31.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.7%
25.7%
31.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.2%
26%
31.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Barnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
60%
0%
Bristol Rovers - Barnet Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Young B. (G) 2. James T. 4. Balmer K. 17. Kelly C. 14. Purrington B. 22. Gough K. 6. Mola C. 7. Forde S. 24. Leigh T. 19. Harrison E. (C) 29. Cavegn F.
13. Cox M. (G) 5. Senior A. 4. Collinge D. (C) 6. Williams Z. 3. Crichlow R. 23. Reeves J. 22. Gallagher O. 7. Knowles T. 11. Kanu I. 8. Lakin C. 20. Tshimanga K.
Substitutes
28. Appiah A. 32. Binns C. (G) 5. Kilgour A. 9. Quigley J. 8. Russell-Denny R. 21. Smallwood R. 3. Sparkes J.
17. Ajayi D. 14. Comley B. 36. Haralambous A. (G) 30. Kenlock M. 37. Liwala A. 9. Maskell J. 25. Tavares N.
Coaches
Evans S.
Brennan D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Harrison E. ⚽,
29', Forde S. 🟨,
31', Kanu I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
59', Crichlow R. ↓, Tavares N. ↑,
59', Reeves J. ↓, Comley B. ↑,
59', Knowles T. ↓, Ajayi D. ↑,
65', Purrington B. 🟨,
65', Evans S. 🟨,
73', Kanu I. ↓, Maskell J. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Senior A. ⚽, Tshimanga K. (A),
85', Leigh T. 🟥,
86', 1 - 2, Williams Z. ⚽,
88', Harrison E. ↓, Quigley J. ↑,
90+2', Lakin C. ↓, Kenlock M. ↑,
90+5', Collinge D. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 3, Tshimanga K. ⚽, Ajayi D. (A),
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 5th in the Promotion - League Two Playoffs - Semi - finals and 2nd in the Promotion - League One).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 0.
Bristol Rovers is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Barnet is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Barnet could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Bristol Rovers has faced a series of away games on the road.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Bristol Rovers: Aitchison J.
(Inactive)
Harbottle R.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Barnet: Smith K.
(Inactive).
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Bristol Rovers has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:14 (averaging 0.8:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Bristol Rovers against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 6:6 goals (averaging 1.5:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Barnet
12
7
4
1
27:17
10
25
15
Bristol Rovers
13
5
1
7
16:20
-4
16
Outrights of English League Two for now
Barnet: 17.04% Bristol Rovers: 3.76%
Last Results with these Odds
Bristol Rovers - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 42.75%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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Young B. (G) 
James T. 
Balmer K. 
Kelly C. 
Cavegn F. 
Kanu I. 
Comley B. 
Tavares N. 
Evans S. 
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