The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crawley Town 31.9%
Draw 26.7%
Colchester United 41.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.6%
26.8%
36.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.6%
26.1%
37.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Crawley Town - Colchester United Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 8 - 100%). Confidence interval (95%) for Colchester: 100% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Colchester (3.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - Colchester (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Colchester United will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Colchester (votes: 6 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Davies H. (G) 5. Barker C. 3. Conroy D. (C) 28. Flint J. 19. Pereira D. 26. Williams J. 4. Bajrami G. 7. Forster H. 10. Brown R. 11. Roles J. 21. Loft R.
1. Macey M. (G) 30. Vincent-Young K. 5. Tucker J. (C) 24. Araujo H. 3. Iandolo E. 8. Bishop T. 16. Read A. 14. Lisbie K. 33. Mbick M. 7. Anderson H. 9. Tovide S.
Substitutes
22. Adeyemo A. 24. Dixon K. 8. Holohan G. 13. McKirdy H. 9. Tshimanga K. 27. Watson L.
21. Edwards O. 19. Goodwin W. 11. Gordon J. 2. Hunt R. 10. Payne J. 12. Smith T. (G) 40. Terry F.
Coaches
Lindsey S.
Cowley D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Brown R. ⚽, Roles J. (A),
20', 1 - 1, Lisbie K. ⚽,
31', Tovide S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Tovide S. ↓, Payne J. ↑,
57', Mbick M. 🟨,
59', Bajrami G. ↓, Holohan G. ↑,
59', Roles J. ↓, McKirdy H. ↑,
68', Williams J. 🟨,
70', Forster H. ↓, Adeyemo A. ↑,
70', Brown R. ↓, Tshimanga K. ↑,
75', Mbick M. ↓, Goodwin W. ↑,
76', Bishop T. ↓, Hunt R. ↑,
76', Lisbie K. ↓, Edwards O. ↑,
85', Pereira D. ↓, Watson L. ↑,
90+3', Watson L. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 21 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 2.
Crawley is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Colchester has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Colchester has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Crawley: Anderson M.
(Thigh Injury)
Cashman D.
(Inactive)
Flower L.
(Inactive)
Malone S.
(Injury)
There will not play in Colchester: Baldwin J.
(Inactive)
Flanagan T.
(Knee Injury)
Perry B.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Crawley: McKirdy H.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 1.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.2:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Colchester United - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.6%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.