Match Info

Date: 14 May 2022, Saturday

Location: Pietersburg Stadium (Polokwane)

Referee: Mdluli E. (Rsa)


	Baroka		Supersport United

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.9	2.65
	2.63	2.85	2.7
	2.6	2.95	2.7
	2.76	3.14	2.76
	2.62	2.8	2.75
	2.65	2.91	2.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (3.02)	2.93 ↑ (2.82)	2.72 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baroka
34.8%

Draw
31.4%

Supersport United
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

33.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

32.4%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baroka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Supersport United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baroka than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Supersport United than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	44.4%	11.1%

Baroka - Supersport United Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Baroka will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Supersport United will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baroka: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Baroka has the most likely position - 16 (84.58%), has project points - 22, has currently - 18, has a good chance of relegated (94%), has not chance of qualify for ccl.

Supersport United has the most likely position - 7 (22.54%), has project points - 43, has currently - 37, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of qualify for ccl (<1%), has not chance of win league.

This event has small quality 11, small importance 13, small match rating 12. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Baroka won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Baroka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Baroka won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Baroka won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baroka FC
South African Premier Soccer League
07.05.22	Chippa United - Baroka	2:2 ✺
04.05.22	Baroka - Lamontville Golden Arrows	1:0 ✺
24.04.22	Moroka Swallows - Baroka	3:2 ✺
12.04.22	Baroka - Orlando Pirates	0:0 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
09.04.22	Marumo Gallants - Baroka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TWLTL
- Supersport United
South African Premier Soccer League
06.05.22	Supersport United - Moroka Swallows	2:2 ✺
03.05.22	Supersport United - Stellenbosch	0:0 ✺
23.04.22	Marumo Gallants - Supersport United	0:0 ✺
16.04.22	Kaizer Chiefs - Supersport United	0:1 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
08.04.22	Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila - Supersport United	3:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

South African Premier Soccer League
16.10.21	Supersport United - Baroka	2:0
01.05.21	Supersport United - Baroka	1:1
19.12.20	Baroka - Supersport United	1:3
02.09.20	Supersport United - Baroka	4:1
South African Knockout
19.10.19	Supersport United - Baroka	2:1 penalties
South African Premier Soccer League
28.08.19	Baroka - Supersport United	0:2
23.02.19	Supersport United - Baroka	1:2

Baroka - Supersport United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide