Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 9

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Brinco de Ouro (Campinas)


	Guarani		Amazonas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.5	5.35	Watch
	1.58	3.75	5.9
	1.59	3.61	6.06	Watch
	1.57	3.25	5.75
	1.54	3.45	6.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.75)	3.51 ↑ (3.22)	5.84 ↑ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarani
58.3%

Draw
26%

Amazonas
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

28.1%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

27.5%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guarani's performance.

Amazonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guarani that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Guarani - Amazonas Predictions

Users Predictions: Guarani will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Caique Franca (C) 15. Carlos Eduardo 6. Emerson Barbosa 11. Guilherme Cachoeira 21. Isaque 10. Joao Paulo 95. Jonathan Costa 99. Maranhao 2. Mauricio Antonio 22. Rian 3. Willian Farias	33. Renan (G) 6. Fabiano (C) 27. Fabinho 28. Gabriel Cipriano 8. Jhonny Lucas 2. Leo Coelho 7. Marcelo Cirino 10. Rafael Tavares 17. Rafael Vitor 15. Raylison Pacheco 11. Vinicius Leite
Substitutes
88. Diego Torres 77. Guilherme Parede 27. Herbert 66. Kaua Jesus 9. Lucca 70. Mateus Claus (G) 7. Mirandinha 8. Nathan Melo 5. Rafael Donato 4. Raphael 26. Renan Castro 42. Yan Henrique	19. Carlinhos 14. Castro P. 21. Graffin A. 25. Italo Silva 1. Joao Lopes (G) 18. Kauan Firmo 3. Marcel Scalese 29. Marcondes 30. Nunez P. 5. Panzariello I. 20. Schiappacasse N.
Coaches
Sizenando E.	Rodrigo Santana

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Willian Farias ⚽,
8', Emerson Barbosa ↓, Renan Castro ↑,
24', 2 - 0, Joao Paulo (Penalty Awarded),
39', 3 - 0, Carlos Eduardo ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Mauricio Antonio ↓, Rafael Donato ↑,
46', Leo Coelho ↓, Italo Silva ↑,
46', Raylison Pacheco ↓, Marcondes ↑,
56', Joao Paulo 🟨,
66', Vinicius Leite ↓, Castro P. ↑,
66', Isaque ↓, Herbert ↑,
66', Marcelo Cirino ↓, Schiappacasse N. ↑,
69', Renan Castro 🟨,
77', Maranhao ↓, Lucca ↑,
77', Willian Farias ↓, Kaua Jesus ↑,
78', Rafael Tavares ↓, Nunez P. ↑,
80', Herbert 🟨,
82', 4 - 0, Guilherme Cachoeira ⚽,
89', 5 - 0, Herbert ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Guarani is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Amazonas has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Amazonas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Guarani is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Guarani won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Guarani won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Serie C
23.05.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Guarani	0:2 ✺
17.05.26	Guarani - Ituano	1:3 ✺
11.05.26	Maringá - Guarani	0:5 ✺
02.05.26	Guarani - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 ✺
27.04.26	Ferroviária - Guarani	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLWWT
- Amazonas FC
Brazilian Serie C
24.05.26	Amazonas - Ferroviária	1:2 ✺
16.05.26	Floresta - Amazonas	3:2 ✺
10.05.26	Amazonas - Figueirense	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Amazonas - Caxias	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Norte
29.04.26	Monte Roraima - Amazonas	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
12.11.24	Guarani - Amazonas	0:0
24.07.24	Amazonas - Guarani	1:1

Guarani - Amazonas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide