Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 8

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz (Itajaí)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping


	Barra Santa Catarina		Guarani

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.7	2.95	2.4
	2.68	2.88	2.58	Watch
	2.79	2.73	2.72
	2.89	2.8	2.73	Watch
	2.63	2.7	2.63
	2.68	2.83	2.59	Watch
	2.54	2.88	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.54)	2.82 ↓ (2.88)	2.65 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barra Santa Catarina
33.6%

Draw
32.1%

Guarani
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

32.5%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barra Santa Catarina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Guarani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barra Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (-3%)

Barra Santa Catarina - Guarani Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (5.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ewerton (G) 6. Da Rocha 10. Elvinho 4. Everton Alemao 2. Fabio 11. Gabriel Silva 3. Jean Pierre (C) 7. Marcelinho 8. Matheus Barbosa 9. Renan Bernabe 5. Tete	1. Caique Franca (G) 15. Carlos Eduardo 6. Emerson Barbosa 21. Guilherme Cachoeira 7. Isaque 10. Joao Paulo 4. Jonathan Costa 19. Maranhao 13. Mauricio Antonio 2. Rian 8. Willian Farias (C)
Substitutes
20. Cleo Silva 12. Fabian Volpi (G) 15. Guilherme Lazaroni 13. Leo Duarte 23. Lucas Vargas 18. Matheuzinho 16. Natan Costa 19. Saymon 14. Vava Franca 21. Vinicius Popo 17. Warley Jr	20. Diego Torres 11. Herbert 18. Kaua Jesus 9. Lucca 12. Mateus Claus (G) 17. Mirandinha 14. Nathan Melo 5. Rafael Donato 3. Raphael 16. Renan Castro
Coaches
Franco B.	Sizenando E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Carlos Eduardo ⚽,
45+2', 0 - 2, Jonathan Costa ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rian ↓, Raphael ↑,
50', Da Rocha 🟨,
63', Marcelinho ↓, Saymon ↑,
66', Isaque ↓, Nathan Melo ↑,
66', Maranhao ↓, Herbert ↑,
68', Elvinho ↓, Warley Jr ↑,
69', Da Rocha ↓, Cleo Silva ↑,
76', Matheus Barbosa ↓, Natan Costa ↑,
76', Gabriel Silva ↓, Matheuzinho ↑,
83', 🟨,
85', Guilherme Cachoeira ↓, Mirandinha ↑,
87', Willian Farias ↓, Rafael Donato ↑,
89', Mirandinha 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Barra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Barra FC: 2.7%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barra Santa Catarina
Brazilian Serie C
17.05.26	Anápolis - Barra Santa Catarina	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
14.05.26	Corinthians - Barra Santa Catarina	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
10.05.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Caxias	0:0 ✺
04.05.26	Figueirense - Barra Santa Catarina	0:3 ✺
26.04.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Internacional de Limeira	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TLTWT
- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Serie C
17.05.26	Guarani - Ituano	1:3 ✺
11.05.26	Maringá - Guarani	0:5 ✺
02.05.26	Guarani - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 ✺
27.04.26	Ferroviária - Guarani	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Guarani - Itabaiana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWTT

Barra Santa Catarina - Guarani: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide