Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 18

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Orlando Scarpelli (Florianópolis)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping


	Figueirense		Floresta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	2.85	4.1
	1.9	2.78	4.45	Watch
	1.96	2.84	4.97
	1.76	2.99	5.79	Watch
	1.91	2.7	4.2
	1.91	2.86	4.43	Watch
	1.88	3.15	4.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.82)	2.88 ↓ (3.05)	4.61 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Figueirense
48.4%

Draw
31.7%

Floresta
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

29.5%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

28.6%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Figueirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Floresta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Figueirense - Floresta Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Figueirense will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Figueirense will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Igo Gabriel (G) 10. Felipe Augusto 9. Hyuri 2. Iury 5. Jhony Douglas 4. Ligger (C) 3. Lucas Dias 11. Marlyson 6. Matheus Mascarenhas 8. Rafinha Potiguar 7. Ramon Vinicius	1. Dalton (G) 17. Diego Matos 18. Guilherme Martineli 8. Guilherme Nunes 10. Gustavo Xuxa 9. Jeam 4. Julio Vaz 2. Mateus Ludke 30. Romarinho 13. Thomas Kayck (C) 3. Vitao
Substitutes
14. Douglas Bacelar 12. Fabricio Santana (G) 20. Flavio 19. Gabriel Santiago 25. Joao Lucas 15. Leo Maia 22. Nicolas 18. Rafael Longuine 17. Reifit 21. Renan 23. Roger Fellipo 16. Wesley Costa	26. Arilson 22. Cesar (G) 16. Davi Castro 12. Dheimison (G) 27. Gustavo Ramos 15. Igor Dutra 29. Rodrigo 14. Rodriguinho 19. Rubens 11. Thiaguinho 21. Vitinho
Coaches
Sizenando E.	Leston Junior

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Guilherme Martineli 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Felipe Augusto ⚽,
26', Dalton ↓, Dheimison ↑,
30', Jeam 🟨,
37', Jhony Douglas 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jeam ↓, Rubens ↑,
46', Guilherme Martineli ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
46', Hyuri ↓, Renan ↑,
46', Iury ↓, Leo Maia ↑,
57', 🟨,
68', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Figueirense is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Figueirense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Figueirense
Brazilian Serie C
17.08.25	São Bernardo - Figueirense	0:3 ✺
11.08.25	Figueirense - Maringá	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	ABC - Figueirense	0:0 ✺
27.07.25	Figueirense - Anápolis	1:2 ✺
20.07.25	CS Alagoano - Figueirense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WTTLT
- Floresta EC
Brazilian Serie C
17.08.25	Confiança - Floresta	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Floresta - Tombense	1:0 ✺
03.08.25	Maringá - Floresta	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Floresta - ABC	1:1 ✺
19.07.25	Ponte Preta - Floresta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
20.05.24	Floresta - Figueirense	0:2
24.07.23	Floresta - Figueirense	1:1
24.04.22	Floresta - Figueirense	0:0

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