The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barra Santa Catarina 40.1%
Draw 27.6%
Santa Catarina 32.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.3%
28%
31.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.7%
28.3%
31.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barra Santa Catarina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Santa Catarina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barra Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Barra Santa Catarina - Santa Catarina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 8th and 6th).
Recent results have been tough for Barra (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Santa Catarina has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Santa Catarina could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Barra has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:3 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Barra against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:3 goals (averaging 1.5:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Santa Catarina
6
2
1
3
6:11
-5
7
8
Barra FC
6
0
4
2
10:13
-3
4
Last Results with these Odds
Barra Santa Catarina - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 40.25%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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