Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Claudio Fabian Tapia (Barracas)

Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz


	Barracas Central		Tigre

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.7	2.65	Watch
	3.3	2.8	2.4
	3.2	2.72	2.58	Watch
	3.3	2.78	2.7
	3.49	2.7	2.52	Watch
	3.1	2.63	2.6
	3.14	2.79	2.74	Watch
	3	2.9	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (3.1)	2.75 ↓ (2.79)	2.59 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barracas Central
29.4%

Draw
34.2%

Tigre
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

33.3%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

33.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Tigre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	37.5%	50%

Barracas Central - Tigre Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Barracas Central will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tigre will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tigre: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barracas Central (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Mino M. (G) 2. Capraro N. 32. Tobio F. 31. Demartini N. 13. Barrios R. 5. Miloc D. 10. Tapia I. 8. Porra T. 6. Insua R. 20. Candia J. 7. Bruera F.	26. Sultani T. (G) 8. Garay M. 42. Arias R. 20. Barrionuevo A. 24. Alvarez F. 10. Saralegui J. 30. Elias J. 23. Pineiro G. 22. Lopez S. 29. Russo I. 9. Romero D.
Substitutes
11. Briasco N. 37. Campi G. 18. Duarte M. 1. Espinola J. (G) 16. Guaraz I. A. 33. Maroni G. 4. Martinez D. 9. Morales G. 79. Puig M. 15. Rak Y. 24. Taborda E. 22. Valentino G.	3. Banegas N. 18. Fernandez M. 1. Fuster L. (G) 2. Laso J. 5. Leyes B. 28. Martinez P. 21. Medina S. 4. Moreno V. 55. Mosqueira J. 19. Oviedo A. 11. Serrago T. 32. Villalba J.
Coaches
Insua R.	Dabove D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Russo I. ⚽, Saralegui J. (A),
31', Demartini N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Barrios R. ↓, Maroni G. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Tobio F. ⚽,
54', 2 - 1, Bruera F. ⚽, Porra T. (A),
67', Saralegui J. ↓, Serrago T. ↑,
70', Pineiro G. 🟨,
72', Candia J. ↓, Morales G. ↑,
72', Tapia I. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
73', Lopez S. ↓, Oviedo A. ↑,
73', Pineiro G. ↓, Medina S. ↑,
76', Maroni G. 🟨,
79', Romero D. ↓, Martinez P. ↑,
79', Alvarez F. ↓, Banegas N. ↑,
89', Porra T. ↓, Rak Y. ↑,
90+1', Miloc D. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barracas Central won 2.

Barracas Central has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tigre is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tigre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tigre could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Barracas Central: Taborda E. (Inactive)

There will not play in Tigre: Gonzalez S. (Knee Injury) Martinez P. (Inactive) Rivero S. G. (Knee Injury) Saralegui J. (Thigh Injury) Soto G. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Barracas Central won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Barracas Central won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barracas Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.02.26	Platense - Barracas Central	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Rosario Central - Barracas Central	2:0 ✺
09.02.26	Barracas Central - Gimnasia La Plata	2:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
05.02.26	Barracas Central - Temperley	3:2 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.02.26	Barracas Central - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWWT
- CA Tigre
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.02.26	Central Córdoba - Tigre	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
17.02.26	Tigre - Atlético Claypole	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.02.26	Tigre - Aldosivi	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	River Plate - Tigre	1:4 ✺
02.02.26	Tigre - Racing	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.10.25	Tigre - Barracas Central	2:2
12.04.25	Barracas Central - Tigre	1:0
02.12.24	Barracas Central - Tigre	0:0
17.07.23	Tigre - Barracas Central	0:1
11.06.22	Tigre - Barracas Central	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
21.02.22	Barracas Central - Tigre	0:2
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.11.21	Tigre - Barracas Central	1:0

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