The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Platense 49.6%
Draw 31.2%
Barracas Central 19.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.8%
32.6%
23.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.2%
32.3%
23.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Platense's performance.
Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Platense that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
77.8%
11.1%
11.1%
Platense - Barracas Central Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Platense will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Barracas Central will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Platense: 50.6% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Platense (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +0.5 - Platense (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Platense (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
20. Borgogno M. (G) 25. Saborido J. 13. Vazquez I. (C) 31. Victor Cuesta 3. Silva T. 24. Barrios M. 15. Amarfil M. 7. Mainero G. 33. Gauto J. 10. Zapiola F. 23. Heredia L.
30. Mino M. (G) 2. Capraro N. 32. Tobio F. 37. Campi G. 13. Barrios R. 8. Porra T. 16. Guaraz I. A. 10. Tapia I. (C) 6. Insua R. 9. Morales G. 7. Bruera F.
Substitutes
17. Bussio F. 27. Dalmasso S. 38. Ingenthron C. 4. Lagos A. 21. Lotti A. 34. Mendia M. 18. Merlini B. 9. Nasif T. 6. Raggio E. 43. Retamar K. 22. Sumavil N. (G) 28. Tucker M.
28. Bogarin R. 11. Briasco N. 20. Candia J. 31. Demartini N. 18. Duarte M. 1. Espinola J. (G) 21. Gamba L. 33. Maroni G. 5. Miloc D. 79. Puig M. 15. Rak Y. 22. Valentino G.
Coaches
Zunino W.
Insua R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Porra T. 🟨,
23', Amarfil M. 🟨,
32', Barrios M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Morales G. ↓, Briasco N. ↑,
46', Barrios M. ↓, Dalmasso S. ↑,
46', Heredia L. ↓, Nasif T. ↑,
46', Guaraz I. A. ↓, Miloc D. ↑,
61', Bruera F. ↓, Candia J. ↑,
61', Porra T. ↓, Maroni G. ↑,
69', Amarfil M. ↓, Merlini B. ↑,
69', Mainero G. ↓, Retamar K. ↑,
73', Victor Cuesta 🟨,
82', Gauto J. ↓, Lotti A. ↑,
86', 1 - 0, Lotti A. ⚽, Retamar K. (A),
88', Dalmasso S. 🟨,
89', Barrios R. ↓, Gamba L. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
Platense is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Barracas Central has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Platense is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Platense: Bay J.
(Knee Injury)
Bobadilla H.
(Muscle Injury)
Gomez I.
(Muscle Injury)
Goni G.
(Muscle Injury)
Minerva F.
(Muscle Injury)
Ocampo A.
(Inactive)
Portillo M.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Barracas Central: Taborda E.
(Inactive)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Platense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Platense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).
Last Results with these Odds
Barracas Central - the odds 3.93 are the expected chance of winning is 23.57%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
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Barrios M. 
Bogarin R. 
Briasco N. 
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