Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Quadrangular - Round 6

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Jaime Morón León (Cartagena)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play


	Real Cartagena		Barranquilla

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.23	5.5	11	Watch
	1.26	5.8	12.75
	1.24	5.49	12.06	Watch
	1.22	5	11
	1.2	5.35	13.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.43)	5.43 ↑ (4.53)	11.98 ↑ (6.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Real Cartagena
75.2%

Draw
17%

Barranquilla
7.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

20.5%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

20%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Cartagena's performance.

Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barranquilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Cartagena than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Cartagena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barranquilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Real Cartagena - Barranquilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Real Cartagena will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Barranquilla will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Gomez Tovar G. E. (G)
17. Aleman J.
26. Graciano C.
8. Guevara L.
23. Lora R.
27. Melendez A.
10. Montero F. (C)
19. Moreno J.
20. Nieva J.
14. Pino D.
3. Redondo Garcia E. H.
Substitutes
7. Barrera J.
30. Herrera J.
9. Manotas M.
1. Montes A. (G)
28. Paternina C.
21. Rodriguez J.
5. Solarte Espana J. A.
29. Tamayo F.
11. Yanes L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Munoz J. ↓, Oviedo P. ↑,
35', Lozano J. ↓, Ortiz Javier ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Montero F. ↓, Solarte Espana J. A. ↑,
46', Pino D. ↓, Manotas M. ↑,
46', Melendez A. ↓, Barrera J. ↑,
47', Correa F. 🟨,
61', Graciano C. ↓, Paternina C. ↑,
67', Correa F. ↓, Torres D. ↑,
67', Aleman J. ↓, Yanes L. ↑,
67', Caballero S. ↓, Mosquera Moreno Y. ↑,
67', Penate C. ↓, Borja S. ↑,
69', Torres D. 🟨,
71', 0 - 1, Torres D. ⚽,
73', Solarte Espana J. A. 🟨,
83', 1 - 1, Guevara L. ⚽,
84', 2 - 1, Manotas M. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Cartagena won 1.

Real Cartagena is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Barranquilla's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Real Cartagena is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Real Cartagena won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:21. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Cartagena won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.5:1.2).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Cartagena	11	4	3	4	19:14	5	15
16	Barranquilla	11	2	3	6	11:17	-6	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Cartagena
Colombian Primera B
17.05.26	Bogotá - Real Cartagena	1:2 ✺
12.05.26	Unión Magdalena - Real Cartagena	3:0 ✺
08.05.26	Real Cartagena - Unión Magdalena	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Real Cartagena - Bogotá	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Barranquilla - Real Cartagena	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWT
- Barranquilla FC
Colombian Primera B
17.05.26	Barranquilla - Unión Magdalena	1:1 ✺
13.05.26	Bogotá - Barranquilla	1:1 ✺
08.05.26	Barranquilla - Bogotá	2:0 ✺
04.05.26	Unión Magdalena - Barranquilla	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Barranquilla - Real Cartagena	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
26.04.26	Barranquilla - Real Cartagena	0:0
18.04.26	Real Cartagena - Barranquilla	1:3
10.10.25	Barranquilla - Real Cartagena	3:1
07.09.25	Real Cartagena - Barranquilla	0:0
06.05.25	Real Cartagena - Barranquilla	3:0
29.03.25	Barranquilla - Real Cartagena	2:2
05.10.24	Real Cartagena - Barranquilla	3:0

Upcoming Matches