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Current Win Probability
Barranquilla 13.6%
Draw 19.8%
Real Cartagena 66.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
23.4%
25.3%
51.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24%
25.1%
50.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barranquilla's form might have worsened.
Real Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Cartagena's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barranquilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Cartagena than the current prediction. (-15.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Cartagena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Barranquilla - Real Cartagena Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Cartagena (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Users Predictions:
Real Cartagena will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Cartagena (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Gomez L. 4. Herazo E. 18. Lozano J. 31. Mendoza Benitez D. A. 33. Mosquera D. 36. Navia J. 21. Orozco A. 23. Oviedo P. 9. Pino M. 7. Torres D. 27. Uribe N.
22. Gomez Tovar G. E. (G) 17. Aleman J. 6. Escobar A. 18. Gallego J. P. 26. Graciano C. 80. Lopez E. 10. Montero F. 14. Pino D. 5. Solarte Espana J. A. 20. Taffur L. 24. Tegue G.
Substitutes
16. Agamez M. 8. Bolivar M. 15. Borja S. 3. Cassiani O. 20. Cortez J. 1. Guerra Navarro S. (G) 11. Munoz J. 10. Ortiz Javier 24. Taboada D.
8. Guevara L. 23. Lora R. 9. Manotas M. 27. Melendez A. 1. Montes A. (G) 28. Paternina C. 16. Pineda J. 13. Rios J. 11. Yanes L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Montero F. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Pino D. ↓, Rios J. ↑,
56', Gallego J. P. ↓, Pineda J. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Lozano J. ⚽,
65', Gomez L. ↓, Bolivar M. ↑,
65', Torres D. ↓, Borja S. ↑,
66', Aleman J. ↓, Melendez A. ↑,
66', Lopez E. ↓, Guevara L. ↑,
73', Oviedo P. ↓, Agamez M. ↑,
74', Uribe N. ↓, Ortiz Javier ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Manotas M. ⚽,
86', Bolivar M. ↓, Cortez J. ↑,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 16th and 4th in the Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barranquilla won 2.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Real Cartagena could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Real Cartagena is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Barranquilla has recorded 4 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:29 (averaging 1.1:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Barranquilla against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with 9:12 goals (averaging 1:1.3 per game).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Cartagena
15
5
6
4
26:18
8
21
15
Barranquilla
15
3
5
7
18:22
-4
14
Last Results with these Odds
Real Cartagena - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 51.24%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.