Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Quadrangular - Round 5

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Romelio Martinez (Barranquilla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Barranquilla		Unión Magdalena

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.7	3.35	1.92	Watch
	3.94	3.46	1.98
	3.94	3.47	1.9	Watch
	3.7	3.1	1.85
	4.02	3.32	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↓ (4.01)	3.34 ↓ (3.5)	1.89 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barranquilla
23.8%

Draw
27.6%

Unión Magdalena
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

26.6%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

25.7%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barranquilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Unión Magdalena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barranquilla than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Barranquilla - Unión Magdalena Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Unión Magdalena will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', 🟨,
4', Agamez M. 🟥,
12', Mercado J. 🟨,
23', Oviedo P. ↓, Cassiani O. ↑,
32', Lerma J. 🟨,
37', Giraldo J. ↓, Pimienta J. ↑,
43', Pimienta J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Mercado J. ↓, Surmay O. ↑,
50', Orozco A. 🟨,
57', Ortiz Javier ↓, Lozano J. ↑,
57', Munoz J. ↓, Mosquera W. ↑,
61', Mosquera W. 🟨,
77', Orozco A. ↓, Caballero S. ↑,
77', Penate C. ↓, Carabali Lopez M. B. ↑,
80', Lerma J. ↓, Cervantes M. ↑,
80', Arrieta G. ↓, Romero J. ↑,
90', 0 - 1, Cervantes M. ⚽,
90+2', Carreno A. ↓, Torres L. ↑,
90+3', Vasquez J. 🟨,
90+7', 1 - 1, Bolivar M. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barranquilla won 1.

Barranquilla has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Unión Magdalena is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Unión Magdalena is a strong favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Barranquilla won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 13:31. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Barranquilla won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.9:1.9).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	U. Magdalena	11	3	3	5	10:12	-2	12
16	Barranquilla	11	2	3	6	11:17	-6	9

Last Results with these Odds

Barranquilla - the odds 4.01 are the expected chance of winning is 23.18%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barranquilla FC
Colombian Primera B
13.05.26	Bogotá - Barranquilla	1:1 ✺
08.05.26	Barranquilla - Bogotá	2:0 ✺
04.05.26	Unión Magdalena - Barranquilla	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Barranquilla - Real Cartagena	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Real Cartagena - Barranquilla	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 TWLTW
- Unión Magdalena
Colombian Primera B
12.05.26	Unión Magdalena - Real Cartagena	3:0 ✺
08.05.26	Real Cartagena - Unión Magdalena	2:1 ✺
04.05.26	Unión Magdalena - Barranquilla	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Bogotá - Unión Magdalena	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Atlético Cali - Unión Magdalena	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
04.05.26	Unión Magdalena - Barranquilla	2:0
04.03.26	Barranquilla - Unión Magdalena	1:3
12.08.24	Barranquilla - Unión Magdalena	1:1
20.02.24	Unión Magdalena - Barranquilla	1:3
26.09.21	Unión Magdalena - Barranquilla	3:0
03.04.21	Unión Magdalena - Barranquilla	4:1
23.10.20	Barranquilla - Unión Magdalena	2:5

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