Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 23

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday


	Moncarapachense		Operário

	1	X	2
	1.43	3.75	6.75
	1.64	3.2	5.6
	1.54	3.6	6.43
	1.64	3.2	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.34)	3.44 ↓ (4.5)	6.1 ↓ (7.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moncarapachense
58.4%

Draw
26.6%

Operário
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

20.1%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2%

19.1%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moncarapachense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moncarapachense's form might have worsened.

Operário has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moncarapachense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Moncarapachense - Operário Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Fati N. ⚽,
4', 2 - 0, Fati N. ⚽,
13', 3 - 0, Tavinho ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
85', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 and 9).

Recent matches Moncarapachense is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Operário is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Moncarapachense is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano Ginásio Clube Moncarapachense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
09.03.25	Lusitano GC - Moncarapachense	4:0 ✺
02.03.25	Moncarapachense - Serpa	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	Moura - Moncarapachense	0:2 ✺
16.02.25	Moncarapachense - Amora	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Lagoa - Moncarapachense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTWTT
- CD Operário
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
09.03.25	Operário - Estrela Vendas Novas	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Fabril do Barreiro - Operário	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Operário - Barreirense	0:2 ✺
16.02.25	Operário - Lusitano GC	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Serpa - Operário	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLTL

Moncarapachense - Operário: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide