Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP D - ROUND 22

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday


	Barreirense		Setúbal

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.4	1.61
	5	3.5	1.63
	4.95	3.5	1.59
	5.48	3.41	1.65
	5.57	3.38	1.61
	5	3.45	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.13 ↓ (5.44)	3.44 ↓ (3.45)	1.62 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barreirense
17.7%

Draw
26.4%

Setúbal
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.8%

26.5%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9%

26.3%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Setúbal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barreirense than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: )).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Setúbal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Setúbal is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Barreirense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Barreirense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
25.02.24	Fabril do Barreiro - Barreirense	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	Barreirense - Oriental	2:2 ✺
11.02.24	Juventude de Évora - Barreirense	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	Barreirense - Elvas	0:2 ✺
28.01.24	Barreirense - Sintrense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WTWLW
- Vitoria Setúbal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
24.02.24	Setúbal - Sintrense	2:0 ✺
18.02.24	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Setúbal	0:0 ✺
11.02.24	Setúbal - Lusitano GC	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	Imortal - Setúbal	0:3 ✺
28.01.24	Setúbal - Serpa	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
05.11.23	Setúbal - Barreirense	4:0

Barreirense - Setúbal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide