Match Info

Paulista A4 - Round 15

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Lemense FC		Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.82	3.4
	2.16	2.78	3.46
	2.18	2.86	3.51
	2.15	2.63	3.4
	2.16	2.81	3.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.06)	2.78 ↓ (3.1)	3.46 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lemense FC
41.7%

Draw
32.4%

Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

29.2%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

28.9%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lemense FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lemense FC than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Lemense FC - Grêmio Desportivo São Carlense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

São-Carlense is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Recent form of Lemense has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

São-Carlense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

São-Carlense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lemense could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lemense FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
28.03.26	ECUS - Lemense FC	2:0 ✺
25.03.26	Lemense FC - Jabaquara	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	VOCEM - Lemense FC	2:1 ✺
18.03.26	Lemense FC - Jacareí	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	São Caetano - Lemense FC	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLTL
- Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
28.03.26	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - São Caetano	4:1 ✺
21.03.26	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - Penapolense	0:0 ✺
18.03.26	Taquaritinga - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Jabaquara - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - VOCEM	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTLLW

Lemense FC - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide