Match Info

Date: 20 February 2022, Sunday


	Barrio México		Uruguay de Coronado

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4
	1.73	3.25	3.9
	1.73	3.35	3.95
	1.74	3.4	4
	1.72	3.5	4
	1.76	3.6	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.76)	3.42 ↑ (3.37)	4 ↑ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barrio México
51.5%

Draw
26.2%

Uruguay de Coronado
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

26.6%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

18.4%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barrio México has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Uruguay de Coronado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrio México than the current prediction. (-16.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barrio México that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uruguay de Coronado than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Uruguay de Coronado could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Barrio México - Uruguay de Coronado Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Barrio México could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Barrio México is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Barrio México won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Barrio México won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Barrio México
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
12.02.22	Barrio México - Desamparados	0:0 ✺
09.02.22	Aserrí - Barrio México	2:0 ✺
26.01.22	Barrio México - Santa Ana	0:0 ✺
22.01.22	Turrialba - Barrio México	1:1 ✺
15.01.22	Barrio México - Puerto Golfito	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLTTW
- Uruguay de Coronado
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
16.02.22	Uruguay de Coronado - Santa Ana	0:0 ✺
13.02.22	Aserrí - Uruguay de Coronado	1:2 ✺
04.02.22	Turrialba - Uruguay de Coronado	1:1 ✺
29.01.22	Uruguay de Coronado - Cariari Pococí	1:2 ✺
26.01.22	Desamparados - Uruguay de Coronado	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
30.10.21	Barrio México - Uruguay de Coronado	2:0
16.01.21	Barrio México - Uruguay de Coronado	2:1
07.09.20	Uruguay de Coronado - Barrio México	2:0

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