Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 24

Date: 1 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Holker Street (Barrow in Furness)

Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Barrow		Bradford City

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.7	3	2.7
	2.65	3	2.85	Watch
	2.68	2.95	2.83	Watch
	2.62	3	2.9
	2.63	3.13	2.75	Watch
	2.65	3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.62)	3.03 ↓ (3.29)	2.8 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barrow
35.4%

Draw
31.1%

Bradford City
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

28.3%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

28.4%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Bradford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	58.3%	16.7%

Barrow - Bradford City Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Bradford will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Farman P. (C) 24. Feely R. 42. Vassell T. 30. Jackson B. 11. Newby E. 16. Foley S. 15. Gotts R. 29. Tiensia J. 9. Dallas A. 23. Mahoney C. 20. Acquah E.	1. Walker S. (G) 15. Baldwin A. 5. Byrne N. 24. Shepherd J. 2. Halliday B. 23. Pointon B. 6. Smallwood R. (C) 16. Pattison A. 3. Richards L. 9. Cook A. 8. Kavanagh C.
Substitutes
2. Eccleston N. 10. Garner G. 25. Kirk C. 17. Kouyate K. 3. Ogungbo M. 21. Stanway W. (G) 19. Telford D.	13. Doyle C. (G) 22. Johnson C. 18. Kelly C. 12. Oduor C. 21. Sanderson O. 10. Sarcevic A. 7. Walker J.
Coaches
Clemence S.	Alexander G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', Cook A. ↓, Sanderson O. ↑,
12', Foley S. 🟨,
15', Feely R. ↓, Eccleston N. ↑,
23', 0 - 1, Richards L. ⚽, Smallwood R. (A),
34', Halliday B. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Dallas A. (Pen),
45+7', Pattison A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Kavanagh C. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
60', Pattison A. ↓, Sarcevic A. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Acquah E. ⚽, Newby E. (A),
79', Mahoney C. ↓, Kouyate K. ↑,
79', Dallas A. ↓, Garner G. ↑,
85', Shepherd J. ↓, Kelly C. ↑,
85', Byrne N. ↓, Oduor C. ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Oduor C. ⚽,
89', Vassell T. ↓, Ogungbo M. ↑,
89', Acquah E. ↓, Telford D. ↑,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 17 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barrow won 3.

Recent matches Barrow is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bradford is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Barrow have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Barrow won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.3:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Barrow won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Barrow - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.58%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barrow
English League Two
29.12.24	Tranmere Rovers - Barrow	1:1 ✺
26.12.24	Salford City - Barrow	3:0 ✺
21.12.24	Barrow - Fleetwood Town	2:0 ✺
14.12.24	Walsall - Barrow	1:0 ✺
03.12.24	Bradford City - Barrow	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLWLT
- Bradford City
English League Two
29.12.24	Bradford City - Chesterfield	2:1 ✺
26.12.24	Bradford City - Port Vale	2:1 ✺
21.12.24	Notts County - Bradford City	3:0 ✺
14.12.24	Bradford City - Swindon Town	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.12.24	Stockport County - Bradford City	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
03.12.24	Bradford City - Barrow	1:1
23.04.24	Barrow - Bradford City	1:2
11.11.23	Bradford City - Barrow	1:2
18.02.23	Bradford City - Barrow	0:1
06.08.22	Barrow - Bradford City	3:2
01.01.22	Barrow - Bradford City	1:2
18.09.21	Bradford City - Barrow	1:1

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