Match Info

League One - Round 6

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Meadow Lane (Nottingham)

Referee: Chilowicz A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Notts County		Bradford City

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.10	2.25
	3.00	3.25	2.30
	3.00	3.25	2.35
	3.07	3.50	2.40
	2.99	3.37	2.32	Watch
	3.00	3.45	2.30
	3.13	3.13	2.32	Watch
	3.05	3.25	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↓ (3.23)	3.29 ↑ (3.27)	2.33 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Notts County
30.9%

Draw
28.6%

Bradford City
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

28.4%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

27.7%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Bradford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Notts County - Bradford City Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Bradford will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Belshaw J. (G) 2. Gibbons J. 12. Ness L. 4. Bedeau J. (C) 25. Tsaroulla N. 27. Finneran R. 15. Evans J. 14. Lipsiuc D. 8. Cooper O. 42. Mustapha H. 19. Smyth L.	21. McCracken J. (G) 28. Pennington M. 15. Baldwin A. 16. Pratt G. 7. Neufville J. 8. Phillips A. 6. Connolly C. 3. Touray I. 10. Sarcevic A. (C) 23. Pointon B. 9. Beesley J.
Substitutes
11. Grant C. 21. Griffiths H. (G) 9. Kanu D. 10. Longelo-Mbule R. 3. McDonald R. 7. Roberts C. 26. Samuels-Smith I.	1. Dawson C. (G) 5. Gillesphey M. 11. Humphrys S. 19. Jackson K. 22. Morgan K. 27. O'Keeffe C. 25. Powell N.
Coaches
Paterson M.	Alexander G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Touray I. 🟨,
14', Sarcevic A. 🟨,
39', Evans J. 🟨,
41', Phillips A. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 0 - 1, Pratt G. ⚽,
58', Ness L. 🟨,
60', Mustapha H. ↓, Kanu D. ↑,
60', Evans J. ↓, Roberts C. ↑,
60', Lipsiuc D. ↓, Longelo-Mbule R. ↑,
68', Beesley J. ↓, Powell N. ↑,
68', Pointon B. ↓, O'Keeffe C. ↑,
69', Kanu D. 🟨,
71', Pratt G. 🟨,
77', Bedeau J. 🟨,
81', Gibbons J. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
90', Powell N. 🟨,
90+1', Touray I. ↓, Gillesphey M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Bradford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Notts County: Acquah E. (Inactive) Enoru B. (Inactive) Macari L. (Inactive) McDonald R. (Inactive) Palmer M. (Injury) Platt M. (Inactive) Sanders M. H. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Notts County: Campbell D. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Bradford: Wright T. (Inactive)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:6. (average 2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 2.8:0.8).

Outrights of English League One for now

Bradford City: 8.71% Notts County: 1.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bradford City	8	5	1	2	8:5	3	16
20	Notts County	7	1	4	2	7:9	-2	7

Last Results with these Odds

Notts County - the odds 3.23 are the expected chance of winning is 28.67%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Bradford City - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.96%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notts County
English League One
05.09.26	Huddersfield Town - Notts County	1:1 ✺
01.09.26	Doncaster Rovers - Notts County	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Notts County - Burton Albion	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Luton Town - Notts County	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Notts County - Leicester City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 TTWTT
- Bradford City
English League Cup
08.09.26	Leyton Orient - Bradford City	1:3 ✺
English League One
05.09.26	Bradford City - Mansfield Town	1:0 ✺
01.09.26	Bradford City - Cambridge United	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Plymouth Argyle - Bradford City	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.26	Bradford City - Burnley	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
17.04.25	Bradford City - Notts County	1:1
21.12.24	Notts County - Bradford City	3:0
19.03.24	Bradford City - Notts County	0:3
18.11.23	Notts County - Bradford City	4:2
English League One
14.03.15	Notts County - Bradford City	1:1
28.12.14	Bradford City - Notts County	1:0
01.01.14	Notts County - Bradford City	3:0

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