Match Info

League Two - Round 38

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Peninsula Stadium (Salford) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Searle I. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
United Kingdom	19:45	Sky Sports+


	Salford City		Barrow

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.8	6.5	Watch
	1.53	4.2	5.5
	1.52	3.95	6.4	Watch
	1.55	3.89	6.84
	1.58	3.74	5.94	Watch
	1.53	3.7	6
	1.51	3.95	6.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.69)	3.89 ↑ (3.75)	6.21 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salford City
61%

Draw
24%

Barrow
15%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.3%

24.5%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

23.9%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Salford City's performance.

Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barrow might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Salford City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barrow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Salford City - Barrow Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Salford will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Barrow will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salford: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Salford (votes: 1 - 50%). Barrow (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Young M. (G) 45. Longelo-Mbule R. 6. Turton O. 28. Awe Z. 15. Cooper B. 29. Garbutt L. (C) 17. Austerfield J. 18. Butcher M. 8. Grant J. 9. Stockton C. 26. Graydon R.	1. Stanway W. (G) 7. Jackson B. 2. MacDonald A. 6. Canavan N. (C) 3. Shipley L. 29. Barkhuizen T. 45. Harper R. 14. McCann C. 21. Earing J. 25. Gordon J. 10. Walker T.
Substitutes
16. Borini F. 34. Butt R. 24. Dorrington A. 25. Ehibhatiomhan P. 33. Howard M. (G) 22. Oluwo A. 23. Udoh D.	16. Foley S. 23. Mahoney C. 11. Newby E. 33. Rose D. 4. Williams M. 31. Winterbottom B. (G)
Coaches
Robinson K.	Foley S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Graydon R. ⚽, Awe Z. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', Gordon J. 🟨,
59', Earing J. ↓, Newby E. ↑,
59', Barkhuizen T. ↓, Mahoney C. ↑,
60', Longelo-Mbule R. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan P. ↑,
60', Stockton C. ↓, Udoh D. ↑,
60', Austerfield J. ↓, Borini F. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Borini F. ⚽, Graydon R. (A),
71', Shipley L. ↓, Rose D. ↑,
74', Walker T. ↓, Williams M. ↑,
74', MacDonald A. ↓, Foley S. ↑,
76', Cooper B. ↓, Oluwo A. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Rose D. ⚽,
83', 3 - 1, Borini F. ⚽,
86', Butcher M. 🟨,
88', Graydon R. ↓, Dorrington A. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salford won 3.

Salford is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Barrow has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Salford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Salford is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Salford: Bird J. (Inactive) Cesay K. (Inactive) Edwards T. (Inactive) Harris K. (Inactive) Mnoga H. (Yellow Cards) N'Mai K. (Injury) Rose M. (Leg Injury) Woodburn B. (Inactive)

There will not play in Barrow: Anderson F. (Inactive) Hemmings K. (Injury) Malcolm J. (Inactive) Raglan C. (Inactive) Whitfield B. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Salford: Ashley O. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Barrow: Smith S. (Inactive) Williams M. (Inactive)

We predict that Salford will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Salford won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:13. (average 1.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Salford won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 2.5:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Salford	13	9	1	3	23:14	9	28

Outrights of English League Two for now

Salford: 9.17%

Last Results with these Odds

Salford City - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 54.32%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salford City
English League Two
14.03.26	Harrogate Town - Salford City	0:1 ✺
10.03.26	Salford City - Walsall	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Salford City - Barnet	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Grimsby Town - Salford City	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Colchester United - Salford City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWLW
- Barrow
English League Two
14.03.26	Barrow - Accrington Stanley	0:0 ✺
10.03.26	Barrow - Bristol Rovers	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Cheltenham Town - Barrow	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Barrow - Gillingham	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Fleetwood Town - Barrow	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
01.01.26	Barrow - Salford City	1:2
01.04.25	Barrow - Salford City	1:1
26.12.24	Salford City - Barrow	3:0
17.02.24	Salford City - Barrow	5:3
28.10.23	Barrow - Salford City	0:0
28.02.23	Barrow - Salford City	1:1
26.12.22	Salford City - Barrow	1:1

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