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Current Win Probability
Barrow 45.9%
Draw 28%
Cheltenham Town 26%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.2%
26.4%
27.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.2%
26.4%
27.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
41.7%
33.3%
25%
Barrow - Cheltenham Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Barrow: 13.8% – 69.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Stanway W. (G) 4. Williams M. (C) 5. Raglan C. 3. Shipley L. 34. Whitfield B. 14. McCann C. 8. Smith S. 21. Earing J. 29. Barkhuizen T. 15. Hemmings K. 25. Gordon J.
1. Day J. (G) 2. Jude-Boyd A. 6. Cundy R. 5. Wilson J. (C) 27. Tomkinson J. 8. Young L. 26. Stevenson B. 21. Hutchinson I. 11. Thomas J. 31. Adelakun H. 20. Bickerstaff J.
Substitutes
18. Cameron I. 20. Fletcher I. 7. Jackson B. 23. Mahoney C. 11. Newby E. 31. Winterbottom B. (G)
22. Archer E. 41. Diallo M. (G) 3. Harmon G. 4. Kinsella L. 16. Martin J. 12. Power D. 15. Taylor T.
Coaches
Whing A.
Cotterill S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Adelakun H. ⚽, Thomas J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, Whitfield B. ⚽, Barkhuizen T. (A),
73', Whitfield B. ↓, Newby E. ↑,
74', Earing J. ↓, Mahoney C. ↑,
75', Thomas J. ↓, Archer E. ↑,
82', Hemmings K. ↓, Cameron I. ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Archer E. ⚽, Hutchinson I. (A),
87', Smith S. ↓, Fletcher I. ↑,
87', Barkhuizen T. ↓, Jackson B. ↑,
88', Bickerstaff J. ↓, Taylor T. ↑,
90+2', Adelakun H. ↓, Power D. ↑,
90+2', Hutchinson I. ↓, Kinsella L. ↑,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 18 and 19)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 3.
Barrow has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Cheltenham is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Barrow might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Barrow won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).