Match Info

League Two - Round 20

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham)

Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)


	Gillingham		Barrow

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.4	4.1	Watch
	1.88	3.45	3.95	Watch
	1.94	3.52	4.22
	1.85	3.55	4.06	Watch
	1.91	3.3	4
	1.87	3.34	4.2	Watch
	1.85	3.5	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.86)	3.44 ↓ (3.52)	4.1 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gillingham
50%

Draw
27.2%

Barrow
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

26.4%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

22.1%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gillingham that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barrow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Gillingham - Barrow Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gillingham (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Gillingham (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Gillingham will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gillingham (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Turner J. (G) 2. Hutton R. 15. Akomeah T. 14. McKenzie R. 30. Gale S. 6. Coleman E. 8. Little A. (C) 7. McCleary G. 23. Dack B. 11. Rowe A. 20. Nevitt E.	1. Stanway W. (G) 3. Shipley L. 5. Raglan C. 7. Jackson B. 34. Whitfield B. 4. Williams M. (C) 14. McCann C. 29. Barkhuizen T. 21. Earing J. 15. Hemmings K. 25. Gordon J.
Substitutes
3. Clark M. 13. Holtam T. (G) 27. Khumbeni N. 22. Ogie S. 12. Palmer-Houlden S. 5. Smith A. 10. Williams J.	18. Cameron I. 23. Mahoney C. 11. Newby E. 8. Smith S. 31. Winterbottom B. (G) 27. Worrall D.
Coaches
Ainsworth G.	Whing A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Earing J. (Own goal),
28', 2 - 0, Rowe A. ⚽, Coleman E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', 2 - 1, Gordon J. ⚽, Barkhuizen T. (A),
59', Barkhuizen T. ↓, Mahoney C. ↑,
59', Earing J. ↓, Smith S. ↑,
67', Dack B. ↓, Khumbeni N. ↑,
72', McCleary G. ↓, Palmer-Houlden S. ↑,
72', Jackson B. ↓, Newby E. ↑,
80', Whitfield B. ↓, Worrall D. ↑,
83', 2 - 2, Gordon J. ⚽,
86', Hemmings K. 🟨,
88', Rowe A. ↓, Smith A. ↑,
88', Akomeah T. ↓, Williams J. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 8 and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 2.

In recent matches, Gillingham has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Barrow has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Barrow may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gillingham is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Gillingham: Masterson C. (Calf Injury) Williams E. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Barrow: Canavan N. (Red Card) Foley S. (Surgery) Healey R. (Knee Injury) Smith K. (Ankle Injury) Walker T. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Gillingham: Morris G. (Injury) Smith A. (Inactive) Vokes S. (Calf Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Gillingham - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.93%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gillingham FC
English League Two
06.12.25	Colchester United - Gillingham	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Shrewsbury Town - Gillingham	3:3 ✺
22.11.25	Gillingham - Barnet	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Gillingham - Crawley Town	2:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
11.11.25	Gillingham - Wycombe Wanderers	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTTTL
- Barrow
English League Two
09.12.25	Barrow - Tranmere Rovers	0:3 ✺
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Wigan Athletic - Barrow	3:2 penalties ✺
English League Two
29.11.25	Newport County - Barrow	2:2 ✺
22.11.25	Barrow - Cambridge United	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	Bromley - Barrow	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
08.02.25	Barrow - Gillingham	3:0
28.09.24	Gillingham - Barrow	2:0
13.04.24	Gillingham - Barrow	3:0
05.03.24	Barrow - Gillingham	2:0
01.04.23	Barrow - Gillingham	2:1
22.10.22	Gillingham - Barrow	1:1

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