Match Info

League Two - Round 20

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Whaddon Road (Cheltenham)

Referee: Barlow M. (Eng)


	Cheltenham Town		Harrogate Town

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.4	3.8	Watch
	1.92	3.55	3.7	Watch
	2.02	3.58	3.86
	2.01	3.5	3.48	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.6
	1.93	3.44	3.84	Watch
	1.9	3.6	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.01)	3.48 ↓ (3.54)	3.73 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cheltenham Town
48.1%

Draw
26.8%

Harrogate Town
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

26.2%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

26.4%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Cheltenham Town - Harrogate Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Harrogate will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cheltenham: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cheltenham (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Day J. (G) 2. Jude-Boyd A. 6. Cundy R. 5. Wilson J. (C) 27. Tomkinson J. 8. Young L. 26. Stevenson B. 21. Hutchinson I. 11. Thomas J. 31. Adelakun H. 22. Archer E.	31. Belshaw J. (G) 2. Asare Z. 15. O'Connor A. 6. Burrell W. (C) 3. Slater J. 17. Sutton L. 27. Fox B. 18. Muldoon J. 4. Evans J. 22. Smith R. 14. McAleny C.
Substitutes
28. Backwell T. 20. Bickerstaff J. 41. Diallo M. (G) 3. Harmon G. 4. Kinsella L. 16. Martin J. 12. Power D.	37. Barnes L. 5. Bradbury T. 25. Cursons T. 44. Falkingham J. 23. Jameson K. 9. McCoulsky S. 1. Oxley M. (G)
Coaches
Cotterill S.	Weaver S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
69', Archer E. ↓, Bickerstaff J. ↑,
69', Thomas J. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
73', 1 - 0, Bickerstaff J. ⚽,
77', Tomkinson J. 🟨,
79', Wilson J. 🟨,
80', 1 - 1, McAleny C. (Penalty Awarded),
86', Sutton L. ↓, McCoulsky S. ↑,
90+2', Muldoon J. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Harrogate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cheltenham will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T. (Hamstring Injury) Mazionis J. (Inactive) Miller G. (Inactive) Sherring S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Harrogate: Barnes L. (Inactive) Bennett M. (Inactive) Bradbury T. (Inactive) Cass L. (Ankle Injury) Faulkner B. (Inactive) Gibson L. (Injury) Hill T. (Injury) Taylor E. (Inactive) Thomson G. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Cheltenham: Broom R. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cheltenham Town
English League Two
09.12.25	Swindon Town - Cheltenham Town	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Cheltenham Town - Buxton	6:2 ✺
English League Two
29.11.25	Colchester United - Cheltenham Town	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Tranmere Rovers - Cheltenham Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WWLWL
- Harrogate Town
English League Two
09.12.25	Harrogate Town - Accrington Stanley	0:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Harrogate Town - Blackpool	4:2 ✺
English League Two
29.11.25	Barnet - Harrogate Town	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Harrogate Town - Walsall	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	Notts County - Harrogate Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
17.01.25	Harrogate Town - Cheltenham Town	2:0
07.09.24	Cheltenham Town - Harrogate Town	1:0
08.05.21	Cheltenham Town - Harrogate Town	4:1
09.02.21	Harrogate Town - Cheltenham Town	0:1

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