Match Info

League Two - Round 17

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Whaddon Road (Cheltenham)

Referee: Howard P. (Eng)


	Cheltenham Town		Bristol Rovers

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.5	2.1
	3.2	3.45	2.12
	2.94	3.49	2.29
	2.90	3.48	2.25	Watch
	3.18	3.48	2.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.9)	3.48 (3.48)	2.18 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cheltenham Town
30.3%

Draw
26.8%

Bristol Rovers
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

26.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

26.4%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Day J. (G) 14. Broom R. 24. Sherring S. 5. Wilson J. (C) 27. Tomkinson J. 15. Taylor T. 4. Kinsella L. 22. Archer E. 20. Bickerstaff J. 26. Stevenson B. 11. Thomas J.	1. Southwood L. (G) 23. Southam-Hales M. 28. Negru S. 12. Lockyer T. (C) 6. Mola C. 3. Sparkes J. 14. Cotterill J. 22. Conteh K. 24. Chang A. 29. Cavegn F. 19. Harrison E.
Substitutes
31. Adelakun H. 28. Backwell T. 41. Diallo M. (G) 3. Harmon G. 16. Martin J. 12. Power D. 30. Willcox F.	27. Bilongo B. 43. Dewsbury O. 25. Howley R. 30. Issaka F. 4. Moore T. 11. Thomas L. 13. Young B. (G)
Coaches
Cotterill S.	Clarke D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Wilson J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Taylor T. ↓, Adelakun H. ↑,
63', Stevenson B. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
67', Harrison E. ↓, Dewsbury O. ↑,
67', Tomkinson J. 🟨,
71', 1 - 0, Tomkinson J. ⚽, Thomas J. (A),
76', Negru S. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
76', Chang A. ↓, Issaka F. ↑,
79', Thomas J. 🟨,
90+2', Thomas J. ↓, Power D. ↑,
90+4', Conteh K. 🟨,
90+5', Adelakun H. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 19).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Cheltenham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Cheltenham has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T. (Hamstring Injury) Bennett S. (Inactive) Cundy R. (Inactive) Mazionis J. (Inactive) Miller G. (Inactive) Young L. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Kilgour A. (Inactive) McEachran J. (Inactive) Omochere P. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cheltenham: Backwell T. (Inactive) Jude-Boyd A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Senior J. (Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:23. (average 0.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.7:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Cheltenham Town - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 32.03%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Bristol Rovers - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.28%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cheltenham Town
English League Two
15.11.25	Tranmere Rovers - Cheltenham Town	3:2 ✺
10.11.25	Cheltenham Town - Notts County	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Cheltenham Town - Bradford City	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
28.10.25	Cheltenham Town - Tottenham Hotspur U21	3:2 penalties ✺
English League Two
25.10.25	Cheltenham Town - Walsall	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 LLWWW
- Bristol Rovers
English League Two
15.11.25	Accrington Stanley - Bristol Rovers	3:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
11.11.25	Bristol Rovers - Plymouth Argyle	1:0 ✺
English League Two
08.11.25	Bristol Rovers - Gillingham	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Bromley - Bristol Rovers	1:2 ✺
English League Two
25.10.25	Crawley Town - Bristol Rovers	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
07.10.25	Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers	0:1
English League One
13.04.24	Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers	1:3
09.12.23	Bristol Rovers - Cheltenham Town	1:1
English EFL Trophy
05.09.23	Bristol Rovers - Cheltenham Town	4:1
English League One
01.01.23	Bristol Rovers - Cheltenham Town	2:1
15.10.22	Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers	1:4
English EFL Trophy
31.08.21	Bristol Rovers - Cheltenham Town	2:0

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