Match Info

League Two - Round 12

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Boundary Park (Oldham)

Referee: Massey-Ellis R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
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Finland	Viaplay
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hungary	Match 4
Iceland	Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	NOW
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Singapore	mio Sports 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Oldham Athletic		Barrow

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.3	4.1	Watch
	1.92	3.45	3.7	Watch
	2	3.42	4.13
	5.10	1.28	10.09	Watch
	1.96	3.3	3.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (1.99)	2.95 ↓ (3.32)	5.17 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oldham Athletic
42.3%

Draw
36.8%

Barrow
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

28.2%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

27.2%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oldham Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oldham Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	14.3%	7.1%

Oldham Athletic - Barrow Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Oldham (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Oldham Athletic will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Oldham Athletic will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Oldham (votes: 4 - 80%). Barrow (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hudson M. (G) 2. Ogle R. 16. Sutton W. 6. Monthe M. 24. Robson J. 8. Woods R. 4. Pett T. (C) 26. Payne K. 19. Hannant L. 17. Quigley J. 28. Mellon M.	1. Stanway W. (G) 7. Jackson B. 5. Raglan C. 3. Shipley L. 34. Whitfield B. 4. Williams M. (C) 45. Harper R. 11. Newby E. 23. Mahoney C. 20. Fletcher I. 25. Gordon J.
Substitutes
20. Caprice J. 31. Donaghy T. (G) 15. Drummond K. 9. Fondop-Talum M. 14. Garner J. 27. Hammond O. 22. Olson C.	18. Cameron I. 14. McCann C. 8. Smith S. 10. Walker T. 31. Winterbottom B. (G) 27. Worrall D.
Coaches
Mellon M.	Whing A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Mahoney C. ↓, McCann C. ↑,
61', Ogle R. ↓, Caprice J. ↑,
66', Fletcher I. ↓, Walker T. ↑,
74', Quigley J. ↓, Garner J. ↑,
75', Gordon J. 🟨,
77', Whitfield B. ↓, Worrall D. ↑,
81', Hannant L. ↓, Fondop-Talum M. ↑,
90', Garner J. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 17).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Oldham is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Oldham: Stevens J. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Barrow: Canavan N. (Hamstring Injury) Foley S. (Surgery) Healey R. (Knee Injury) Hemmings K. (Injury)

There are questionable in Oldham: Conlon T. (Knee Injury) Daniels D. (Injury) Olson C. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Oldham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oldham Athletic
English EFL Trophy
07.10.25	Rotherham United - Oldham Athletic	3:2 ✺
English League Two
04.10.25	Notts County - Oldham Athletic	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Oldham Athletic - Barnet	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Cheltenham Town - Oldham Athletic	0:3 ✺
13.09.25	Oldham Athletic - Bromley	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLTWW
- Barrow
English EFL Trophy
07.10.25	Barrow - Tranmere Rovers	1:2 ✺
English League Two
04.10.25	Barrow - Shrewsbury Town	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Crawley Town - Barrow	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Barrow - Crewe Alexandra	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
16.09.25	Blackpool - Barrow	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
25.07.23	Barrow - Oldham Athletic	1:1
English League Two
29.12.21	Barrow - Oldham Athletic	0:0
04.09.21	Oldham Athletic - Barrow	0:3
23.02.21	Oldham Athletic - Barrow	0:1
24.11.20	Barrow - Oldham Athletic	3:4

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