Match Info

FA Cup - 1/128-finals

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Spennymoor Town		Barrow

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.7	1.86
	3.7	3.7	1.95
	3.83	3.30	1.96	Watch
	3.8	3.75	1.85	Watch
	4.4	3.95	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↓ (5.1)	3.68 ↓ (4.05)	1.87 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spennymoor Town
24.2%

Draw
25.5%

Barrow
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

22.4%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

21.4%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spennymoor Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spennymoor Town's performance.

Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barrow might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spennymoor Town than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spennymoor Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barrow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Spennymoor Town - Barrow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Jones B. (G) 2. Dyson O. 16. Pollock B. 20. Robson E. 3. Jones D. 5. Rowe D. 19. Pugh T. 7. Heaney M. 10. Ramshaw R. 29. Dolan M. 9. Taylor G. (C)	1. Stanway W. (G) 23. Mahoney C. 3. Shipley L. (C) 5. Raglan C. 7. Jackson B. 11. Newby E. 14. McCann C. 20. Fletcher I. 34. Whitfield B. 35. Harper R. 25. Gordon J.
Substitutes
6. Beals B. 18. Green O. 26. Hancox M. 25. Hill T. 13. Johnson R. (G) 28. McKeown C. 11. Mondal J. 24. Salkeld C.	19. Adu Poku M. 22. Booty R. 18. Cameron I. 6. Canavan N. 15. Hemmings K. 8. Smith S. 31. Winterbottom B. (G) 27. Worrall D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Ramshaw R. ↓, Mondal J. ↑,
27', Dolan M. 🟨,
30', McCann C. 🟨,
33', Harper R. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Newby E. ⚽, Shipley L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Jackson B. 🟨,
65', Fletcher I. 🟨,
65', Mahoney C. ↓, Hemmings K. ↑,
66', Robson E. ↓, McKeown C. ↑,
72', 0 - 2, Hemmings K. ⚽, Whitfield B. (A),
76', Dolan M. ↓, Salkeld C. ↑,
76', Pollock B. ↓, Beals B. ↑,
80', Shipley L. 🟨,
83', Gordon J. ↓, Adu Poku M. ↑,
90+3', McKeown C. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Barrow may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Spennymoor has had a series of home games.

In this match, Barrow is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spennymoor Town
English National League North
25.10.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Spennymoor Town	1:0 ✺
21.10.25	Spennymoor Town - Fylde	0:5 ✺
18.10.25	Spennymoor Town - Merthyr Town	6:4 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Spennymoor Town - Billericay Town	1:0 ✺
English National League North
04.10.25	Spennymoor Town - Southport	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWWW
- Barrow
English EFL Trophy
28.10.25	Barrow - Nottingham Forest U21	2:0 ✺
English League Two
25.10.25	Barrow - Barnet	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Walsall - Barrow	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Oldham Athletic - Barrow	0:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.10.25	Barrow - Tranmere Rovers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WTWTL

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