Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 5

Date: 26 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Holker Street (Barrow in Furness)

Referee: Middleton D. (Eng)


	Barrow		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.6	2.15
	3.3	3.5	2.1
	3.24	3.66	2.21
	2.8	3.1	2.25
	3.22	3.6	2.13	Watch
	3	3.45	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.8)	3.49 ↑ (3.3)	2.16 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barrow
29.9%

Draw
26.8%

Wrexham
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

28.6%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

29.8%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wrexham's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	14.3%	42.9%

Barrow - Wrexham Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Wrexham will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Farman P. (G) 21. Warren T. 5. Ray G. 6. Canavan N. 7. Worrall D. 8. Spence K. 13. White T. 4. Campbell D. 29. Tiensia J. 9. Proctor J. 20. Acquah E.	21. Howard M. (G) 14. Forde A. 25. Boyle W. 4. Tozer B. 15. O'Connell E. 19. Mendy J. 22. O'Connor T. 8. Young L. 38. Lee E. 27. Bickerstaff J. 9. Palmer O.
Substitutes
24. Feely R. 16. Foley S. 10. Garner G. 15. Gotts R. 12. Lillis J. (G) 11. Newby E. 19. Telford D.	29. Barnett R. 32. Cleworth M. 18. Dalby S. 30. Jones J. 11. McAlinden L. 31. McNicholas L. (G) 16. Waters B.
Coaches
Wild P.	Parkinson P.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barrow won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Barrow have a series of guest games.

Recently Wrexham have a series of home games.

Wrexham will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Barrow won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Barrow won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barrow
English League Two
19.08.23	Stockport County - Barrow	1:0 ✺
15.08.23	Accrington Stanley - Barrow	1:1 ✺
12.08.23	Barrow - Sutton United	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Bolton Wanderers - Barrow	1:0 ✺
English League Two
05.08.23	Tranmere Rovers - Barrow	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTWLW
- Wrexham AFC
English League Two
19.08.23	Wrexham - Swindon Town	5:5 ✺
15.08.23	Wrexham - Walsall	4:2 ✺
12.08.23	AFC Wimbledon - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Wrexham - Wigan Athletic	1:0 penalties ✺
English League Two
05.08.23	Wrexham - Milton Keynes Dons	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
03.08.19	Wrexham - Barrow	2:1
12.03.19	Wrexham - Barrow	1:3
27.11.18	Barrow - Wrexham	0:0
01.01.18	Wrexham - Barrow	3:3
26.12.17	Barrow - Wrexham	1:1
21.03.17	Barrow - Wrexham	1:1
25.10.16	Wrexham - Barrow	2:2

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