Match Info

National League - Round 6

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Holker Street (Barrow in Furness)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Barrow		Sutton United

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.50	3.60
	1.93	3.30	3.30
	2.02	3.50	3.20
	2.03	3.64	3.71
	2.08	3.53	3.26	Watch
	1.95	3.60	3.65
	1.91	3.61	3.72
	1.98	3.45	3.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.19)	3.52 ↑ (3.42)	3.49 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barrow
47.1%

Draw
26.4%

Sutton United
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

26.7%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

27.3%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barrow's performance.

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Barrow - Sutton United Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Sutton will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Winterbottom B. (G) 2. Oakley M. 25. Kalambayi P. 36. Latty-Fairweather T. 22. Amos D. 27. Marriott I. 4. Williams M. (C) 10. Ward K. 11. Walker G. 18. Cameron I. 8. Smith S.	1. Brits S. (G) 20. Francis J. 12. Urpens D. 4. Kirk A. 3. Topalloj B. 7. Osadebe E. 8. Taylor J. (C) 10. Carter C. 11. Folarin S. 17. Byron T. 9. Babalola T.
Substitutes
6. Digie K. 21. Earing J. 26. Harper R. 32. Lane M. 23. Mooney D. 9. Reid A. 34. Whitfield B.	6. Bell C. 24. Bello O. 13. Haigh Ch. (G) 14. Mussa O. 16. Njoku B. 18. Ogbonna D. 22. Ruiz R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Williams M. ⚽, Ward K. (A),
44', Cameron I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Cameron I. ↓, Reid A. ↑,
47', Kalambayi P. 🟨,
59', Oakley M. 🟨,
61', Francis J. 🟨,
62', Taylor J. ↓, Mussa O. ↑,
62', Francis J. ↓, Ogbonna D. ↑,
62', Folarin S. ↓, Njoku B. ↑,
62', Latty-Fairweather T. ↓, Whitfield B. ↑,
67', Kirk A. ↓, Bell C. ↑,
76', Ogbonna D. 🟨,
78', 2 - 0, Marriott I. ⚽, Walker G. (A),
80', Walker G. ↓, Digie K. ↑,
81', Amos D. 🟨,
83', Babalola T. 🟨,
83', Digie K. 🟨,
89', Urpens D. 🟨,
90', Marriott I. 🟨,
90+7', 3 - 0, Whitfield B. ⚽, Winterbottom B. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 2.

Recent form of Barrow has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sutton is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Sutton has had a series of home games.

Barrow might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Barrow won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Barrow	13	6	3	4	22:16	6	21
13	Sutton	13	5	3	5	14:18	-4	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barrow
English National League North
31.08.26	Kidderminster Harriers - Barrow	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Barrow - Yeovil Town	1:2 ✺
English National League
22.08.26	Harrogate Town - Barrow	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Barrow - Hornchurch	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Hartlepool United - Barrow	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLTLL
- Sutton United
English National League
31.08.26	Sutton United - Wealdstone	0:2 ✺
28.08.26	Gateshead - Sutton United	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Sutton United - Hartlepool United	2:1 ✺
English National League Cup
18.08.26	Sutton United - Leicester City U21	1:0 penalties ✺
English National League
15.08.26	Sutton United - Altrincham	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
13.01.24	Sutton United - Barrow	2:2
12.08.23	Barrow - Sutton United	2:1
11.03.23	Barrow - Sutton United	0:0
13.08.22	Sutton United - Barrow	1:0
23.04.22	Barrow - Sutton United	1:0
27.11.21	Sutton United - Barrow	1:0
English National League
22.02.20	Sutton United - Barrow	2:2

Barrow - Sutton United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide