Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL CUP - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 8 August 2023, Tuesday

Location: University of Bolton Stadium (Bolton)

Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)


	Bolton Wanderers		Barrow

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.5	6.5
	1.47	4.5	6.5
	1.48	4.3	6.5
	1.47	4.38	6.94
	1.6	3.7	4.33
	1.48	4.4	6.45	Watch
	1.48	4.4	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.66)	4.31 ↑ (3.92)	6.23 ↑ (4.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bolton Wanderers
63%

Draw
21.9%

Barrow
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

23.8%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

22.9%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bolton Wanderers's performance.

Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Bolton Wanderers - Barrow Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Barrow will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Coleman J. (G) 26. Ashworth Z. 5. Santos R. (C) 3. Iredale J. 4. Thomason G. 12. Cogley J. 15. Forrester W. 19. Maghoma P. 7. Mendes Gomes C. 35. Jerome C. 11. N'Lundulu D.	1. Farman P. (G) 24. Feely R. 5. Ray G. 4. Campbell D. 6. Canavan N. (C) 29. Tiensia J. 21. Warren T. 16. Foley S. 13. White T. 15. Gotts R. 14. Duffus C.
Substitutes
14. Adeboyejo V. 1. Baxter N. (G) 10. Charles D. 22. Dempsey K. 25. John D. 2. Jones G. 16. Morley A. 8. Sheehan J. 27. Williams R.	20. Acquah E. 35. Bray O. 37. Etaluku S. 10. Garner G. 12. Lillis J. (G) 11. Newby E. 36. Reeve M. 8. Spence K. 7. Worrall D.
Coaches
Evatt I.	Wild P.

Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match Bolton is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Bolton to win the game is with odds 1.63.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bolton won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Bolton won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bolton Wanderers
English League One
05.08.23	Bolton Wanderers - Lincoln City	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Bolton Wanderers - West Bromwich Albion	4:3 ✺
25.07.23	Bolton Wanderers - Everton	0:0 ✺
22.07.23	Salford City - Bolton Wanderers	1:2 ✺
15.07.23	Chester - Bolton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWTWT
- Barrow
English League Two
05.08.23	Tranmere Rovers - Barrow	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Barrow - Newcastle United U21	4:1 ✺
25.07.23	Barrow - Oldham Athletic	1:1 ✺
22.07.23	Barrow - Blackpool	0:5 ✺
18.07.23	Fylde - Barrow	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
22.11.22	Bolton Wanderers - Barrow	3:2
Club Friendly
24.07.21	Barrow - Bolton Wanderers	0:1
English League Two
27.02.21	Bolton Wanderers - Barrow	1:0
20.10.20	Barrow - Bolton Wanderers	3:3
Club Friendly
03.08.12	Barrow - Bolton Wanderers	N/A

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