Match Info

WALES: CYMRU SOUTH - ROUND 25

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Jenner Park (Barry)


	Barry Town United		Afan Lido

	1	X	2
	1.27	5.17	7.92
	1.24	5.8	9.3
	1.26	5.2	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.35)	5.39 ↑ (4.69)	8.34 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barry Town United
72.3%

Draw
16.8%

Afan Lido
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

19%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

18.1%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barry Town United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barry Town United's performance.

Afan Lido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barry Town United than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afan Lido than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier and 4).

Barry Town is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Afan Lido is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Afan Lido have a series of guest games.

In this match Barry Town is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Barry Town to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Barry Town won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Barry Town won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barry Town United
Welsh Cymru South
07.04.23	Ynyshir Albions - Barry Town United	0:2 ✺
25.03.23	Barry Town United - Pontardawe Town	5:0 ✺
21.03.23	Goytre United - Barry Town United	1:2 ✺
10.03.23	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Barry Town United	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	Barry Town United - Ammanford	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWTT
- Afan Lido
Welsh Cymru South
07.04.23	Cambrian United - Afan Lido	3:1 ✺
31.03.23	Ammanford - Afan Lido	4:2 ✺
25.03.23	Llantwit Major - Afan Lido	2:0 ✺
17.03.23	Swansea University - Afan Lido	1:3 ✺
03.03.23	Afan Lido - Llanelli	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
02.08.22	Afan Lido - Barry Town United	1:4
Welsh League Cup
03.10.17	Barry Town United - Afan Lido	4:2
Welsh Division 1
28.01.17	Afan Lido - Barry Town United	1:2

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