Match Info

Cymru South - Round 15

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday


	Llantwit Major		Afan Lido

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.25	5.9
	1.4	4.47	6.02
	1.45	4.55	6.19	Watch
	1.4	4.3	6.45
	1.4	4.5	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.45)	4.41 ↓ (4.55)	6.06 ↓ (6.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llantwit Major
64.4%

Draw
20.6%

Afan Lido
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

20.5%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

19.7%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Llantwit Major have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Afan Lido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llantwit Major than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afan Lido than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Llantwit Major - Afan Lido Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', 1 - 0, Rowe K. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Llantwit Major won 3.

Llantwit Major is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Afan Lido has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Llantwit Major may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Llantwit Major is the clear favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Llantwit Major won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Llantwit Major won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llantwit Major FC
Welsh Cymru South
08.11.25	Llantwit Major - Newport City	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Treowen Stars - Llantwit Major	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Llantwit Major - Ynyshir Albions	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Llantwit Major - Pontypridd United	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Baglan Dragons - Llantwit Major	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTWWT
- Afan Lido
Welsh Cymru South
15.11.25	Afan Lido - Pontypridd United	2:2 ✺
07.11.25	Ammanford - Afan Lido	6:0 ✺
31.10.25	Afan Lido - Caerau Ely	3:2 ✺
24.10.25	Carmarthen Town - Afan Lido	1:0 ✺
10.10.25	Afan Lido - Baglan Dragons	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh League Cup
19.07.25	Llantwit Major - Afan Lido	1:2
Welsh Cymru South
02.11.24	Llantwit Major - Afan Lido	2:0
23.08.24	Afan Lido - Llantwit Major	1:3
20.01.24	Llantwit Major - Afan Lido	1:0
06.10.23	Afan Lido - Llantwit Major	4:1
25.03.23	Llantwit Major - Afan Lido	2:0
19.08.22	Afan Lido - Llantwit Major	2:2

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